“一带一路”战略背景下中国茶叶出口贸易影响因素的实证分析

以"一带一路"战略对中国茶叶出口贸易影响为切入点,利用UN Comtrade数据库、世界银行数据库等数据库资料,运用Eviews软件构建传统的对数引力模型,实证分析"一带一路"战略背景下中国茶叶出口贸易的影响因素。结果表明,运费成本对出口贸易额的影响最显著,各国GDP、各国的价格贸易条件也都对中国茶叶出口贸易额产生显著影响。"一带一路"战略从一定程度上推动了中国茶叶出口贸易的发展,可加快"五通"合作进一步促进茶叶贸易发展。

An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of China' s Tea Export Trade under the Background of "The Belt and Road" Strategy

Taking the"The Belt and Road"strategy's influence on Chinese tea trade as the breakthrough point,using the UN Comtrade data-base,the World Bank database and others to construct the traditional logarithmic gravitational model, we analyzed the factors influencing the export of Chinese tea under the background of "The Belt and Road" strategy by using the Eviews software.The results showed that the impact of freight cost on export trade was the most significant,the national GDP and national price terms of trade also had a significant impact on Chi-na's tea export trade.The strategy of "The Belt and Road" has promoted the development of China's tea export trade to a certain extent.We could adopt the policy to speed up the cooperation of "five types of connectivity" to further promote the development of tea trade .