| 综合相似预报法在短期暴雨预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘勇.综合相似预报法在短期暴雨预报中的应用[J].气象,1996,22(10):31-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 陕西省气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文选取１９６１－１９９８年４－１１月造成陕西暴雨天气的５８６个个例，用专家预报暴雨经验与多元相似相结合，把每个个例总一组暴雨指标，同时又做为和以相似的历史样本，在有限区域内对陕西暴雨天气进行短期预报，１９８９年７－８月作预报９次，其次确率达７８％。
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| 关 键 词： | 暴雨 多元相似 降水预报 综合相似预报法 |
The Usage of Composite Similarity in Short-range Forecast of Heavy Rain |
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| Liu Yong.The Usage of Composite Similarity in Short-range Forecast of Heavy Rain[J].Meteorological Monthly,1996,22(10):31-34. |
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| Authors: | Liu Yong |
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| Abstract: | Selected 586 cases producing shaanxi heavy rain weather during April to Nevember in 1961 1988,every case is summarized to a series rain index and a similarity historical sample,using the expert forecasting experiences and multivariate similarity,the short range heavy rain of shaanxi in limited erea is forecasted.The accuracy of forecasting can reach to 78% during July to August in 1989. |
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| Keywords: | heavy rain expert experiences multivariate similarity |
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