| 1989年大同—阳高地震前后的地震危险性分析及概率预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 秦长源.1989年大同—阳高地震前后的地震危险性分析及概率预测[J].山西地震,1994(4):45-47. |
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| 作者姓名： | 秦长源 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西省地震局 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对山西境内地震序列的分析计算，得出一个适合山西地区地震活动的概率模型。并以此模型对１９８９年前后的地震活动进行了计算，给出１９８９年以来山西地震频繁活动的理论依据，对今后的地震活动进行了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 概率模型，地震，预测，大同—阳高地震 |
Seismic Risk Analysis and Probability Prediction before and after 1989 Datong-Yanggao Earthquake |
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| Qin changyuan.Seismic Risk Analysis and Probability Prediction before and after 1989 Datong-Yanggao Earthquake[J].Earthquake Research in Shanxi,1994(4):45-47. |
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| Authors: | Qin changyuan |
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| Affiliation: | Seismological Bureau of Shanxi Province |
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| Abstract: | A probability model suited to Shanxi regional seismicity has been obtained through analysis and calcula-tion for the seismic sequence within the border of Shanxi.Based on the model,the seismicity beforeand after 1989 has been calculated, the theory basis of frequent seismicity in Shanxi since 1989 has beengiven,and the future seismicity has been forecasted also. |
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| Keywords: | probability model earthquake prediction Dalong-Yanggao earthquake |
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