| 化学危险品事故源强不确定性实例分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张一先,蒋勇,张隆,李凤彩,石剑荣.化学危险品事故源强不确定性实例分析[J].苏州科技学院学报(工程技术版),1998(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 张一先 蒋勇 张隆 李凤彩 石剑荣 |
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| 作者单位： | 苏州城建环保学院产业处!苏州，2150011(张一先)，南京大学环境科学系!南京，210093(蒋勇)，苏州城建环保学院环保系!苏州，215011(张隆，李凤彩，石剑荣) |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金!59378348 |
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| 摘 要： | 讨论了化学危险品突发事故的环境危害评价的不确定性问题。应用几率密度函数可解决事故预测时源强估算的不确定性问题。采用模糊集方法可解决应急管理时事故源强的不确定性问题。文章提供了液氯泄漏和丙烷闪蒸─—火球模型两个实例。
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| 关 键 词： | 不确定性 化学突发事故 源强 环境危害评价 |
EXAMPLES OF UNCERTAINTIES OF SOURCE INTENSITY OF CHEMICAL HAZARDOUS SUDDEN ACCIDENT |
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| Zhang Yixian.EXAMPLES OF UNCERTAINTIES OF SOURCE INTENSITY OF CHEMICAL HAZARDOUS SUDDEN ACCIDENT[J].Journal of University of Science and Technology of Suzhou：Engineering and Technology,1998(3). |
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| Authors: | Zhang Yixian |
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| Abstract: | In this paper the uncertainties of the source intensity of chemical harzadous sudden acci dents on environmental risk assessment have been discussed.For the accident assessment probability density function can be used to solve the uncertainties of estimation of the source intensities.For e mergency measure management the uncertainties of accidents source intensity can be obtained by fuzzy sets method.Two examples about liquid chlorine leakage model and propane BLAVE/fireball model were presented. |
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| Keywords: | uncertainty hazardous sudden accident source intensity environmental risk assess ment |
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