现阶段铜行业经营困境初探

铜工业在国内的扩张离不开我国综合国力的提升以及国内市场对铜的需求的增长，现阶段我国工业化所处的阶段决定了金属消费量仍将持续走高。铜价的波动已成为影响国内铜行业盈利能力的重要因素，不断提高的原材料成本削弱了企业的盈利能力，限制了原材料的选择。在分析我国铜消费现状和铜产业发展面临的问题的基础上，以江西铜业集团为例，采用对比模拟的方式分析了它与其他行业上市公司的经营状况，并对该公司净利润增长率与铜价增长率进行相关性模拟，提出了统一建立企业风险保障基金的必要性，并从政策依据、资金来源、基金使用方向等方面系统地阐述了该政策的具体实施细则。

STUDY ON THE DILEMMA OF COPPER INDUSTRY

Copper industry depends upon China's comprehensive national power and internal demand. China still has a rising metallic consumption which is required by the current industrialization stage. The copper price fluctuation has become a vital factor to influence China's copper profitability. The fluctuated raw material cost is weakening the profitability, thus confining the selection of raw materials. This paper, based on the China's copper consumption actuality and issues, exampled by Jiangxi copper group, compares it with other industrial listed companies operation, and simulates their relativity between retained profits and copper price rising rate. It presents the necessity of setting up enterprise risks guarantee fund, and gives a detailed operational guidelines from policy, capital source and fund uses.