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基于协整方法的知识市场发育与中国经济增长关系研究
引用本文:张林,戴玫君.基于协整方法的知识市场发育与中国经济增长关系研究[J].淮海工学院学报,2009,18(4):57-60.
作者姓名:张林  戴玫君
作者单位:广西大学,商学院,广西,南宁,530004 
基金项目:广西壮族自治区哲学社会科学规划项目 
摘    要:选取1987—2007年时间序列数据,对我国经济增长与知识市场规模关系进行了实证研究。经济增长用GDP和人均GDP作为衡量指标,知识市场规模用技术市场成交额作为衡量指标。模型结果为:GDP和人均GDP这两个指标与技术市场成交额都存在协整关系,两个模型在5%水平上都具有Granger双向因果关系。结果表明,经济增长对知识市场发展的影响强度相对较大,知识市场发展对经济增长的影响强度相对较小,针对该结果,提出相应的对策。

关 键 词:GDP  人均GDP  技术市场交易额  协整关系

Cointegration Analysis about the Relationship between Economic Growth and Knowledge Market in China
ZHANG Lin,DAI Mei-jun.Cointegration Analysis about the Relationship between Economic Growth and Knowledge Market in China[J].Journal of Huaihai Institute of Technology:Natural Sciences Edition,2009,18(4):57-60.
Authors:ZHANG Lin  DAI Mei-jun
Affiliation:(School of Business, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)
Abstract:An empirical study was made on the relationship between economic growth and knowledge market in China based on the data from 1987 to 2007. GDP and GDP per capita were selected as the indexes for economic growth, and technological market turnover (TMT), for knowledge market. The model results show that there is a cointegration relationship between TMT and GDP & GDP per capita, and each model has a Granger causal relationship at the level of 50%. Besides, the impact of economic growth upon the development of knowledge market is quite strong while that vice versa is substantially weaker. In this respect, some countermeasures are put forward hereafter.
Keywords:GDP
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