| 河北省二氧化碳排放驱动因素研究——基于STIRPAT模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 李洁,李卫东.河北省二氧化碳排放驱动因素研究——基于STIRPAT模型[J].安徽农业科学,2013(20):8660-8663,8786. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李洁 李卫东 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100044 |
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| 摘 要： | 首次以河北省为研究对象,基于扩展的STIRPAT模型,应用岭回归分析,对1980~2011年二氧化碳排放驱动因素进行研究,然后结合河北省产业布局和特点,提出碳减排政策建议。结果表明,经济增长是二氧化碳排放量增多的决定性因素;城市化水平、能源强度和人口规模是重要因素;第三产业比重、第二产业比重和能源消费结构对碳排放影响不显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 河北省 碳排放 STIRPAT模型 岭回归 |
Study on Driving Factors of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Hebei Province by Using STIRPAT Model |
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| Affiliation: | LI Jie et al (School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044) |
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| Abstract: | With Hebei Province as the study object, based on expanding STIRPAT model, using ridge regression model, driving factom of car- bon dioxide emissions during 1980 -2011were studied. Combing with industrial layout and characteristics of Hebei Province, several policies and suggestions for reducing carbon emissions were put forward. The results show that change in GDP per capita is the major impact factor, and urban- ization level, energy intensity and population size are highly correlated to carbon emissions, while the other factors are non-significant. |
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| Keywords: | Hebei Province Carbon emissions STIRPAT model Ridge regression |
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