| GM(1,1)模型在农村电力负荷预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王吉权,邱立春.GM(1,1)模型在农村电力负荷预测中的应用[J].农机化研究,2010,32(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王吉权 邱立春 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 沈阳农业大学,工程学院,沈阳,110161;东北农业大学,工程学院,哈尔滨,150030
2. 沈阳农业大学,工程学院,沈阳,110161 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(30370825);;辽宁省自然科学基金项目(20052127) |
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| 摘 要： | 农村电力系统是一个含有许多不确定影响因素的灰色系统,而灰色模型法恰好是一种对含有不确定性因素的系统进行预测的方法,因此可将灰色模型法应用于农村电力系统负荷预测中。示例计算结果表明,用该方法预测电力系统负荷具有较高的预测精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 农村电力系统 GM（1 1）模型 负荷预测 |
Application of GM(1,1) Model in Load Forecasting of Rural Power System |
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| Wang Jiquan,Qiu Lichun.Application of GM(1,1) Model in Load Forecasting of Rural Power System[J].Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research,2010,32(2). |
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| Authors: | Wang Jiquan Qiu Lichun |
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| Affiliation: | 1.College of Engineering/a>;Shenyang Agricultural University/a>;Shenyang 110161/a>;China/a>;2.College of Engineering/a>;Northeast Agricultural University/a>;Harbin 150030/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | Because of the rural electricity system is a gray system of many uncertain factors,and the gray model method is a forecasting method that for system of containing uncertain factors.Therefore,the gray model method is applied to the rural power system load forecasting.It sampling calculation shows that this forecasting method has high forecasting preci sion in power system load forecasting. |
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