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多级相似作温度精细化预报初探
引用本文:郭达烽,许爱华,肖安.多级相似作温度精细化预报初探[J].气象与减灾研究,2005,28(3):23-26.
作者姓名:郭达烽  许爱华  肖安
作者单位:江西省环境预报中心,江西,南昌,330046
摘    要:利用2001—2004年欧洲中心数值预报产品等资料,按照预报员制作天气要素预报过程中的基本思路,从“形势分析→系统分析→要素预报”的一般步骤,通过“形势相似→系统相似→天气要素(温度)相似”等多级相似分析,计算制作温度格点预报,并在逐步实现天气要素预报的程序化、数字化、精细化方面进行了有益的探讨。

关 键 词:相似温度精细化预报
文章编号:1007-9033(2005)03-0023-04
收稿时间:2005-04-16
修稿时间:2005-06-12

The Elementary Research Of The More Precise Temperature Forecast By The Multistage Similar Method
GUO Da-feng,XU Ai-hua,XIAO An.The Elementary Research Of The More Precise Temperature Forecast By The Multistage Similar Method[J].Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research,2005,28(3):23-26.
Authors:GUO Da-feng  XU Ai-hua  XIAO An
Affiliation:Environment Forecast Center of Jiangxi Province , Nanchang 330046 , China
Abstract:Made use of the numerical forecast products of ECMWF,according to the basic thinking of the forecasters's making weather key element,from General step of "Situation analysis to System analysis to The key element predicting",through the Multistage Similar Method analysis from" Situation Similar to System Similar to weather elements(temperature) Similar",calculated and made temperature gird forecast,step by step realized weather elements forecast programmable,digitized and precise,and took go on the beneficial discus-sion.
Keywords:Similar Temperature Precise Forecast
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