基于TFP的中部地区经济增长中自然资源贡献分析

运用Romer的内生经济增长模型和全要素贡献模型，对1988~2009年中部地区经济和自然资源进行面板数据分析，计算出各省自然资源要素和其他要素对经济增长的贡献值。结论显示：中部地区经济增长中自然资源生产率呈现出“能源主打，水土作衬；北煤南水，地异明显”的结构、空间特性；其他生产性要素中，资本、劳动力资源生产率对经济增长的贡献不相上下；而全要素生产率除湖北外都不及全国平均水平，中部6省的科技创新能力亟待提高。针对中部经济资源现状提出相应政策建议，认为中部地区应该在资源利用效率的提高、自主研发能力的推崇、各项人才的培养和产业优化的推动方面多做工作，推进低碳经济发展

CONTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF NATURAL RESOURCES IN MIDDLE AREAS BASED ON TFP

With the economic and resources data collected from 6 provinces of mid China from 1988 to 2009,contribution made by natural resources and other production factors is calculated by the Romer Endogenous Economic Growth Model and total factor productivity model.The results show that productivity made by natural resources is composed mainly by the coal and few by the land and water resources on the structure, and coal resources dominate in the north while water resources dominate in the south.While the other two production factors--capital and labor resources are the same important key factors in economic development.Moreover, the total factor productivity in mid China except for Hubei province is lower than country’s average level, which means that the improvement of science and technology in mid China is urgently looking forward to.At last, police suggestion in accordance with economic and resources situation includes:to improve efficiency of resource utilization,to respect independent research and development,to pay attention to talents cultivation,to promote industrial structure optimization and low carbon economy development