Prediction of mortality in patients with left ventricular hypertrophy by clinical,exercise stress,and echocardiographic data

OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated the clinical, exercise stress test, and echocardiographic predictors of mortality and cardiac events in patients with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). BACKGROUND: Left ventricular hypertrophy is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Symptom-limited treadmill exercise echocardiography was performed for evaluation of coronary artery disease in 483 patients (age, 66 +/- 11 years; 281 men) with LVH. End points during follow-up were all-cause mortality and hard cardiac events (cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction MI]). RESULTS: Forty-six patients died and 14 had nonfatal MI. The cumulative mortality rate was higher in patients with abnormal exercise echocardiography (3% vs. 0.4% at one year, 11.7% vs. 3.7% at three years, and 18.3% vs. 9.5% at five years, p < 0.001). In a sequential multivariate analysis model of clinical, exercise test, and rest and exercise echocardiographic data, incremental predictors of mortality were workload (hazard ratio HR], 0.5; 95% confidence interval CI], 0.3 to 0.9), rate pressure product (HR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5 to 0.9), left ventricular (LV) mass index (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.8), and failure to increase ejection fraction (EF) with exercise (HR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.8). Predictors of cardiac events were history of coronary artery bypass grafting (HR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.2 to 5.4), lower exercise rate-pressure product (HR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.5 to 0.8), resting wall motion score index (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.8), and failure to increase EF with exercise (HR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.6 to 6.9). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with LVH, LV mass index and EF response to exercise are independent predictors of mortality, incremental to clinical and exercise test data and resting LV function. A normal exercise echocardiogram predicts a relatively low mortality rate during the following three years.