新兴经济体国家工业化水平测度的实证分析

为推动新兴经济体的工业化进程,探讨科技全球化背景下的各国工业化发展模式和路径,急需构建一套适合新形势的工业化水平测度体系。本文基于国家创新系统国际化理论、新增长经济理论和新制度经济学理论,构建"新兴经济体工业化水平测度"的五维模型,即"发展阶段-工业竞争力-工业化效益-国际化程度-可持续发展制度"的测度模型,并运用层次分析、聚类分析、主成分分析、DEA分析等方法,测算以广义"一带一路"沿线国家为代表的新兴经济体的工业化水平。本文构建的新兴经济体工业化测度五维模型,理论上拓展了经典工业化测度理论和国家创新体系国际化理论;实践上也为中国"一带一路"战略和国际产能合作的策略提供了政策启示。

An empirical analysis of the industrialized level measurement of emerging economies

 In order to promote the industrialization process of emerging economies and explore the mode and path of industrialization development, it is urgent to build a set of industrialization level measurement systems. Base on the theories of internationalization of national innovation system, endogenous growth and new institutional economics, this paper constructs the “five dimensional model” to measure the level of industrialization in emerging economies, named the Measurement Model of “Development Stage - Industrial Competitiveness - Industrial Efficiency - Internationalization Degree - Sustainable Development Institutions” using the methods of analytic hierarchy process, cluster analysis, principal component analysis and DEA analysis. This “Five Dimensional Model" develops a new model to measure the industrialization level in the situation of new world industrial structure competition, extends the classical industrialization measure theory, and provides a theoretical enlightenment for China’s “One Belt and One Road” strategy and the international production capacity cooperation in practice.