| 国际油价回顾与展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜鑫民.国际油价回顾与展望[J].中国能源,2005,27(1):8-10. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜鑫民 |
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| 作者单位： | 能源研究所,北京,100038 |
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| 摘 要： | 2004年国际石油市场需求增长迅速,受石油供需平衡及多种因素的影响,2004年国际石油价格大幅上扬,创历史新高,2004年四季度才开始出现回落。由于采取措施得当,2004年全球经济虽遭受油价上涨的影响,但并不像以往出现经济衰退。受2004年高油价对经济增长滞后效应的影响,预计2005年世界经济增长将比2004年减缓,从长期来说,国际油价将回复到合理价位,新的国际油价均价有可能出现。
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| 关 键 词： | 油价 供需平衡 展望 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-2355(2005)01-0008-03 |
Review and Prospect on Global Oil Price |
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| JIANG Xin-min.Review and Prospect on Global Oil Price[J].Energy of China,2005,27(1):8-10. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Xin-min |
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| Abstract: | Global oil demand increased rapidly in 2004. With influence of oil supply & demand balance and other factors, oil price has a sharp increase and then dropped in the fourth season of 2004. Higher oil price does not greatly impact on economy as it did before due to the proper measures be carried out. It seems that global economy increase in 2005 will be slower than previous year as a result of the delayed influence of higher oil price to economy growth. And as for a long run, global oil price will come down to a reasonable price, while a new average oil price will possibly appear. |
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| Keywords: | oil price supply and demand balance prospect |
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