基于结构方程模型的征地对移民福利影响分析

为了解工程征地对农村移民福利的影响,采用结构方程模型,对南水北调丹江口水库移民进行了实证分析,结果表明:搬迁前后土地面积变化、土地质量变化尤其是补偿标准高低这3方面的征地状况对水库移民福利具有比较显著的影响,其中前者为负向影响,后两者为正向影响;水库移民福利与发展机遇、经济收支、社会适应、居住条件、社会保障的关系显著。因此,水库移民安置应合理提高征地补偿标准,大力实施精准帮持改善移民的发展机遇与经济收支等状况,以确保移民福利改进与获得感增强。

Impacts of land expropriation on reservoir resettlement's welfare based on structural equation model

In order to understand the impacts of land expropriation on rural reservoir resettlement's welfare, using structural equation model, empirical analysis was made on resettlement at Danjiangkou Reservoir of South-to-North Water Diversion Project. The results show that changes in land area before and after relocation, quality of land, and especially the compensation policy have significant influence on reservoir resettlement's welfare, of which the former has negative effects whereas the latter two changes show the opposite. Reservoir resettlement's welfare is tightly related to development opportunities, economic conditions, social adaptation, living conditions, and social security; therefore, to improve the resettlement's welfare and create greater sense of gain, compensation standards need to be raised reasonably and plans regarding improving development opportunities and economic conditions for relocatee should be implemented.