| 中国大陆中强震中长期预测的WDM方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘鼎文,鲁家珍,王咏娟.中国大陆中强震中长期预测的WDM方法[J].大地测量与地球动力学,1995(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘鼎文 鲁家珍 王咏娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉国家地震局地震研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 中文简介强震危险判定的Ｗ值和Ｄ值方法,以此为基础,结合统计修订,提出强震三要素一并判定的一种新的数学方法,称之为“ＷＤＭ”方法。经实例试算,表明了该方法的有效性,可用于中国大陆中强震中长期预测研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 强震 中期预报 |
WDM METHOD FOR LONG-WD-TERM PREDICATION OF MIDDLE AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE IN THE CHINESE CONTINENT |
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| Liu Dingwen,Lu Jiazhen and Wang Yongjuan.WDM METHOD FOR LONG-WD-TERM PREDICATION OF MIDDLE AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE IN THE CHINESE CONTINENT[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,1995(1). |
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| Authors: | Liu Dingwen Lu Jiazhen and Wang Yongjuan |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,two methods of W-value and D-value for determining strong earthquake risk are briefly described. Based on combination of the methods and statistical modification . we put forward a new mathematical method for simultaneously predicting "three factors" of strong earthquake.The new method is named after the WDM method. It can be used for long-mid-term forecast of strong and medium earthquake in the Chinese continent,and its validity was tested by real examples calculated in the way. |
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| Keywords: | strong earthquake medium-term prediction |
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