Relation of the Second Type Thermal Helicity to Precipitation of Landfalling Typhoons: A Case Study of Typhoon Talim |
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Authors: | Zifeng Yu Hui Yu |
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Affiliation: | Shanghai Typhoon Institute/Laboratory of Typhoon Forecast Technique, CMA, Shanghai 200030;Shanghai Typhoon Institute/Laboratory of Typhoon Forecast Technique, CMA, Shanghai 200030 |
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Abstract: | This study utilized the MM5 mesoscale model to simulate the landfalling process of Typhoon Talim. The simulated typhoon track,
weather patterns, and rainfall process are consistent with the observation. Using the simulation results, the relation of
the second type thermal helicity (H
2) to rainfall caused by the landfalling typhoon Talim was analyzed. The results show that H
2 could well indicate the heavy inland rainfall but it did not perform as well as the helicity in predicting rainfall during
the beginning stage of the typhoon landfall. In particular, H
2 was highly correlated with rainfall of Talim at 1-h lead time. For 1–5-h lead time, it also had a higher correlation with
rainfall than the helicity did, and thus showing a better potential in forecasting rainfall intensification. Further analyses
have shown that when Talim was in the beginning stage of landfall, 1) the 850–200-hPa vertical wind shear around the Talim
center was quite small (about 5 m s−1); 2) the highest rainfall was to the right of the Talim track and in the area with a 300-km radius around the Talim center,
exhibiting no obvious relation to low-level temperature advection, low-level air convergence, and upper-level divergence;
3) the low-level relative vorticity reflected the rainfall change quite well, which was the main reason why helicity had a
better performance than H
2 in this period. However, after Talim moved inland further, 1) it weakened gradually and was increasingly affected by the
northern trough; 2) the vertical wind shear was enhanced as well; 3) the left side of the down vertical wind shear lay in
the Lushan and Dabieshan mountain area, which could have contributed to triggering a secondary vertical circulation, helping
to produce the heavy rainfall over there; hence, H
2 showed a better capacity to reflect the rainfall change during this stage. |
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Keywords: | second type thermal helicity typhoon rainfall diagnosis |
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