| 龙滩水电站汛期分期及合理性检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈立华,潘子豪,刘为福,滕翔.龙滩水电站汛期分期及合理性检验[J].水力发电,2019(5):17-21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈立华 潘子豪 刘为福 滕翔 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西大学土木建筑工程学院;广西防灾减灾与工程安全重点实验室;北部湾重大工程与防灾减灾协同创新中心 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点研发计划资助项目(2017YFC0405900);国家自然科学基金项目(51669003);广西重点研发项目(桂科AB16380284) |
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| 摘 要： | 合理的汛期分期是提出分期汛限水位决策意见的重要前提,对充分发挥水电站防洪、发电、生态、压咸能力及提高洪水资源利用率有重要意义。为此,研究运用矢量统计法和模糊集合分析法对龙滩水电站进行汛期分期计算,通过相对频率计算、置信区间计算、非参数统计自助法取样和模糊优选4步对汛期分期进行合理性检验。经检验后可知,相对优属度最高、较合理的汛期分期方案:龙滩水电站前汛期为4月1日～6月9日,主汛期为6月10日～9月1日,后汛期为9月2日～10月31日。
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| 关 键 词： | 汛期分期 合理性检验 矢量统计法 模糊集合分析法 龙滩水电站 |
Flood Season Staging and Its Rationality Verification for Longtan Hydropower Station |
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| CHEN Lihua,PAN Zihao,LIU Weifu,TENG Xiang.Flood Season Staging and Its Rationality Verification for Longtan Hydropower Station[J].Water Power,2019(5):17-21. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Lihua PAN Zihao LIU Weifu TENG Xiang |
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| Affiliation: | (College of Civil Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, Guangxi, China;Guangxi Key Laboratory of Disaster Prevention and Engineering Safety, Nanning 530004, Guangxi, China;Cooperative Innovation Center for Major Projects and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation in Beibu Gulf,Nanning 530004, Guangxi, China) |
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| Abstract: | CHEN Lihua;PAN Zihao;LIU Weifu;TENG Xiang(College of Civil Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, Guangxi, China;Guangxi Key Laboratory of Disaster Prevention and Engineering Safety, Nanning 530004, Guangxi, China;Cooperative Innovation Center for Major Projects and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation in Beibu Gulf,Nanning 530004, Guangxi, China) |
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| Keywords: | flood season staging rationality verification vector statistics fuzzy set analysis Longtan Hydropower Station |
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