| 基于BP神经网络城市燃气短期负荷预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 焦文玲,朱宝成,冯玉刚.基于BP神经网络城市燃气短期负荷预测[J].煤气与热力,2006,26(12):12-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 焦文玲 朱宝成 冯玉刚 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 哈尔滨工业大学,市政环境工程学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150090
2. 大庆高新技术产业开发区,规划建筑设计院,黑龙江,大庆,163316 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金;黑龙江省哈尔滨市青年科学基金;北京市重点实验室基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 论述了BP神经网络的预测模型结构,提出了基于该模型的城市燃气短期负荷预测方法和程序流程,结合某城市燃气负荷数据进行了燃气负荷模拟预测,预测结果和实际情况有很好的一致性。
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| 关 键 词： | 燃气负荷 短期负荷 预测 神经网络 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-4416（2006）12-0012-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-08-25 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-08-252006-09-21 |
Forecast of Short-term Town Gas Load Based on BP Neural Network |
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| JIAO Wen-ling,ZHU Bao-cheng,FENG Yu-gang.Forecast of Short-term Town Gas Load Based on BP Neural Network[J].Gas & Heat,2006,26(12):12-15. |
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| Authors: | JIAO Wen-ling ZHU Bao-cheng FENG Yu-gang |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Haerbin Institute of Technology, Haerbin 150090, China; 2. Planning and Architectural Design Institute, Daqing High-tech Industrial Development Zone, Daqing 163316, China |
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| Abstract: | The structure of forecast model by BP neural network is discussed,and the forecast method and program flow of short-term town gas load based on this model are put forward.The simulative forecast of gas load is conducted with gas load data of a city.The good consistency between the forecast result and the actual value has been obtained. |
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| Keywords: | gas load short-term load forecast neural network |
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