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| 甲型H1N1流感的Monte Carlo预测模型研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 李明,曾志,武祯等.甲型H1N1流感的Monte Carlo预测模型研究[J].医学信息学杂志,2011,32(8):49-51. |
| 作者姓名： | 李明 曾志 武祯等 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 清华大学工程物理系,北京,100084 2. 同方威视技术股份有限公司,北京,100084 3. 中国医学科学院医学信息研究所,北京,100020 |
| 摘 要： | 依据某市甲型H1N1流感暴发统计数据,利用Monte Carlo方法建立甲型H1N1流感传播的预测模型,模拟预测该市甲型H1N1流感暴发情况。结果表明模拟结果与实际数据吻合良好,Monte Carlo方法能够解决流行病传染预测问题。 |
| 关 键 词： | 甲型H1N1流感 Monte Carlo 预测模型 |
| 修稿时间： | 2011/3/30 0:00:00 |
Research on Monte Carlo Prediction Model for Influenza A H1N1 |
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| LI Ming,ZENG Zhi,WU Zhen,etal.Research on Monte Carlo Prediction Model for Influenza A H1N1[J].Journal of Medical Informatics,2011,32(8):49-51. | |
| Authors: | LI Ming ZENG Zhi WU Zhen etal |
| Affiliation: | Department of Engineering Physics, Tsinghua University;Nuctech Company;Institute of Medical Information, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences |
| Abstract: | According to the statistical data of the eruption of the influenza A H1N1 in a certain city, the prediction model of the spread of the influenza A H1N1 are constructed by Monte Carlo method, through which the eruption of the influenza A H1N1 in this city is simulated. The results show that the simulation results have good accordance with the real data, which infers that the prediction of epidemiology could be solved by Monte Carlo method. |
| Keywords: | Influenza A H1N1 Monte Carlo Prediction model |
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