基于因子分析的世界男子网球运动员单打制胜能力模型研究

运用文献资料法、数理统计法和逻辑分析等方法对世界单打排名前100名的男子网球运动员在红土、硬地和草地3种场地的12项比赛技术指标进行研究,分别提取出"发球局制胜能力因子""接发球局制胜能力因子"和"比赛状态因子"3个共因子,建立综合制胜能力模型.模型的因子权重分析和世界前10名运动员的因子得分和综合得分分析发现,球速对运动员发球局能力和接发球局能力的发挥,相同状态下,善于打发球局的运动员更容易在草地球场制胜,善于打接发球局的运动员在硬地球场胜出机会更大,而在红土球场,接发球局能力和发球局能力比较均衡的球员更有优势.

On Winning Capacity Model of World Top Tennis Players in Men's Singles Based on Factor Analysis

By means of literature, logical analysis and mathematical statistics, 12 items have been analyzed of the technical statistics of the world''s top 100 men tennis single players on the hard, grass and clay tennis court. We find "the factors of game state", and establish the comprehensive capacity model. Through the analysis of the factors weight and the world''s top 10 players score, It is found that the influence of the court on the speed of the ball will have an impact on the serving ability and the receiving ability of the players. Under the same condition, the players who are good at serving are more likely to win on the grass court, the players who are good at serving are more likely to win on the hard court, and the players who are good at serving and receiving are more likely to win on the clay court.