| 城市小汽车发展预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴新华.城市小汽车发展预测[J].现代城市研究,2003(Z2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴新华 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京市规划设计研究院 |
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| 摘 要： | 在中国的消费者步入大型消费之际,私人小汽车消费市场迅速崛起。国民经济持续快速增长是预测小汽车需求的前提。在此基础上,根据历年小汽车保有量进行时序外推预测,以及保有量与主要经济指标的关联预测,进行综合分析确定。
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| 关 键 词： | 小汽车 发展 增长 预测 |
Development Prospects of Urban Saloon Car in China |
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| WU Xin-hua.Development Prospects of Urban Saloon Car in China[J].Urban Research,2003(Z2). |
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| Authors: | WU Xin-hua |
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| Abstract: | When the Chinese consumers step intothe era of mass consumption, the volume of privatecar climbs. The rapid economic growth is the premiseto predict the car need. Taking account of therelationship between saloon car volume and maineconomic indicators, the future volume of saloon caris predicted on the basis of the current volume withthe help of time series sequence method. |
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| Keywords: | saloon car development increase estimate |
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