| 新疆1990—2010年能源消费碳排放脱钩及其驱动因素分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张新林,王强,王长建,鲁建荣.新疆1990—2010年能源消费碳排放脱钩及其驱动因素分析[J].资源与产业,2014,16(2):76-82. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张新林 王强 王长建 鲁建荣 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所，新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011；
2 中国科学院大学 资源与环境学院，北京 100049 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(41001384) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 通过构建脱钩理论的Tapio脱钩模型,研究新疆1990—2010年经济增长与CO2排放的脱钩关系及程度,分析发展的时间演变趋势。借助IPAT模型及结构分解分析法（structure decomposition analysis, SDA）,从碳排放总量及能源强度方面，对脱钩弹性影响因素进行分析。结果表明：1990—2010年，新疆经济增长与CO2排放之间处于弱脱钩及扩张连接状态；各个脱钩状态下，影响CO2排放的主要因素是规模效应；通过技术进步来促使CO2排放强度下降是实现新疆经济增长与碳排放增长脱钩的重要手段，但不能将技术进步作为提高能源效率的唯一手段来实现节能。
|
| 关 键 词： | CO2排放 脱钩效应 驱动因素 新疆 |
| 收稿时间： | 2013-10-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2013-11-29 |
CARBON EMISSION ABJUNCTION AND DRIVES OF XINJIANG ENERGY CONSUMPTION DURING 1990-2010 |
| |
| ZHANG Xin-lin;WANG Qiang;WANG Chang-jian;LU Jian-rong.CARBON EMISSION ABJUNCTION AND DRIVES OF XINJIANG ENERGY CONSUMPTION DURING 1990-2010[J].Resources & Industries,2014,16(2):76-82. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHANG Xin-lin;WANG Qiang;WANG Chang-jian;LU Jian-rong |
| |
| Affiliation: | 1. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, CAS, Urumqi 830011, China;
2. School of College Resources and Environment, CAS, Beijing 100049, China |
| |
| Abstract: | his paper, through setting up Tapio abjunction model,studies the abjunction relation between economy and carbon dioxide emission in Xinjiang during 1990-2010,analyzes its temporal evolution, by means of IPAT model and Structure Decomposition Analysis (SDA), discusses its drives from gross carbon emission and energy strength.The result indicates a weak abjunction and expansion connecting between economy and carbon dioxide emission.The major drive of carbon dioxide emission is scale effect. Technical innovation in decreasing carbon dioxide emission strength is a vital tool in abjunction between economy and carbon dioxide emission, but can not be regarded as the sole means in saving energy. |
| |
| Keywords: | carbon dioxide emission abjunction effect drive Xinjiang |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《资源与产业》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《资源与产业》下载全文 |
|
