吉林省相对资源承载力动态变化评价

运用相对资源承载力的研究思路和计算方法,选取传统的三次产业,分别以全国、东部和西部为参照区,计算并分析1978年以来吉林省三次产业的相对资源承载力及动态变化。结果发现,无论相对于全国、东部还是西部地区,吉林省第一产业资源承载力均处于富余状态,表明第一产业是支撑吉林省人口发展的主要产业。相对于全国,第二产业资源承载力超载但有缓和趋势,第三产业资源承载力则一直超载,说明吉林省经济实力在逐渐增强,第三产业亟待发展。相对于东部地区,第二、第三产业资源承载力均超载,表明第二、三产业发展水平与东部地区有较大差距;相对于西部地区,三次产业资源承载力和综合承载力均有较大富余,表明吉林省仍有很大发展优势。

APPRAISAL ABOUT THE DYNAMIC CHANGE OF RELATIVE CARRYING CAPACITY OF RESOURCES IN JILIN PROVINCE

In this paper,the relative resources carrying capacity of tertiaryindustries and their dynamic change in Jilin Province from 1978 to 2008 are calculated and analyzed by using the calculation method of relative resources carrying capacity.The result shows that：the resources carrying capacity of primary industry is abundant,which means the primary industry is still the main industry supporting population.The relative resources carrying capacity of secondary industry is overloaded while has a tendency to alleviate,and that of the tertiary industry is always overloaded relative to the whole country,which illustrates that the economic strength of Jilin is gradually strengthening,while the tertiary industry needs urgent development;Relative to the easten China,the resources carrying capacity of the secondary industry and tertiary industry are all overloaded,which means there is a large difference between the eastern China and Jilin Province in the development level of the secondary industry and tertiary industry;Relative to the western region,the resources carrying capacity of tertiaryindustries and synthetical carrying capacity are all affluent,which shows that there is still a large development advantage in Jilin Province.