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斜坡演化的非线性特性分析
引用本文:许强,张远明.斜坡演化的非线性特性分析[J].地质灾害与环境保护,1998,9(4):1-4.
作者姓名:许强  张远明
作者单位:[1]成都理工学院 [2]四川地勘局101探矿工程队
基金项目:“地质灾害防治与工程地质环境保护国家专业实验室”开放基金
摘    要:斜坡演化过程极为复杂,在演化过程中往往表现出明显的非线性特性。采用BDS统计分析和非线性时滞相关性判定法,研究这种非线性特性,研究结果表明,通常斜坡演化时间序列所呈现的波动性不是完全随机的,波动数值间存在着复杂的非线性相关关系,这种相关性,可为预报斜坡演化趋势提供准确尺度。

关 键 词:斜坡演化  非线性  时间序列  滑坡

THE ANALYSIS ON NONLINEAR CHARACTERISTICS OF SLOPE DEVELOPING PROCESS
Abstract:The developing process of slope is very complicated, and the nonlinear characteristics is usually obvious in the developing process. In this paper, this kind of nonlinear characteristics was analyzed by using the BDS statistical analysis method and the nonlinear time lag correlated character determination method. The results showed that the wave characteristics in the temporal series of the developing process are not stochastic wholly. There are complicated mutual nonlinear correlations among the waving data, which can offer a scale for the accurate forecast on the developing tendencies of slopes.
Keywords:Slope  Nonlinear  Time series  
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