中国“十四五”新能源发展研判及需要关注的问题

新能源发电即将步入平价上网时代，近中期仍将快速发展，在全网总装机中的占比将继续提高，其发展应放到整个能源电力行业发展的框架内进行统筹考虑。结合中国新能源发电成本和接入电力系统引起的利用成本趋势研判，分析未来平价上网和平价利用情况，研究“十四五”中国新能源发展总体情况以及需要关注的4个关键问题，提出实现高比例新能源与电力系统协调发展的政策建议。

New Energy Development and Issues in China during the 14th Five-Year Plan

New energy power generation is about to enter the era of grid parity. In the near and medium term, it will still develop rapidly. Its proportion in the total installed capacity of the whole power grid will continue to increase. With its position in the power system gradually changing, the development of new energy power generation should be considered in the development framework of the whole energy and power industry. Based on the trend of new energy generation cost and the power system operation cost caused by it, the grid parity and utilization parity in the future are analyzed in this paper. The new energy development in China during the 14th five-year plan and four key issues are studied. Finally, policy recommendations for realizing the coordinated development of high proportion new energy and power system are put forward.