| 绵阳市干旱发生规律与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 文启金.绵阳市干旱发生规律与预测[J].西南科技大学学报(哲学社会科学版),1990(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 文启金 |
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| 作者单位： | 绵阳市农牧局 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对绵阳市近500年来气候分析,发现气候干湿变迁有200年、20年等周期性。并用灰色系统的原理与方法,对本市干旱年景进行了预测,指出1992年前后,可能是本市解放以来第七个干旱年。
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| 关 键 词： | 干湿期 灰色系统 干旱 |
LAW AND FORECAST OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN MIANYANG |
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| Wen Qijing.LAW AND FORECAST OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN MIANYANG[J].Journal of Southwest University of Science and Technology,1990(2). |
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| Authors: | Wen Qijing |
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| Affiliation: | Mianyang Bureau of Agri.and Animal Husbandry |
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| Abstract: | Mianyang's clamite date in the past 500 years was analysed in this report,It was found that the drought and dampness of Mianyang had a periodical change of 200 or 20 years etc,and predicded that in or hy 1992,there would be a 7th drought year in mianyang. |
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| Keywords: | Drought and dampness time Grey system Drought |
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