| 新研武器装备技术风险评估决策支持系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏鑫,刘柳,张春山.新研武器装备技术风险评估决策支持系统[J].兵工自动化,2008,27(11):93-96. |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏鑫 刘柳 张春山 |
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| 作者单位： | 驻西安飞机工业公司军事代表室,陕西,西安,710089 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对武器装备研制过程中技术风险的复杂性，综合运用层次分析和模糊综合评价等方法，提出一种技术风险评估决策支持系统模型，其由对话层、决策层、管理层、数据层组成，系统工作分为建立和运行2个阶段，系统的运行采用模糊评判、层次分析和神经网络分析等现代数学方法进行。以新研飞机为例，构建技术风险评估体系，最后对总体设计技术风险进行量化评估。
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| 关 键 词： | 技术风险 评估 决策支持系统 层次分析法 模糊综合评价 |
DSS for Technology Risk Evaluation of Weapon Development |
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| WEI Xin,LIU Liu,ZHANG Chun-shan.DSS for Technology Risk Evaluation of Weapon Development[J].Ordnance Industry Automation,2008,27(11):93-96. |
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| Authors: | WEI Xin LIU Liu ZHANG Chun-shan |
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| Affiliation: | (Military Representative Office Stationing in Xi＇an Aircraft Industry (Group) Company Ltd., Xi＇an 710089, China) |
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| Abstract: | For the complexity of technology risk in the course of weapon and equipment development,applying AHP and fuzzy-evaluation,put forward a DSS model for technology risk evaluation.The system composed of session layer,decision layer,management layer and data layer,and its work is divided into establishment and operation.The operation phase use Fuzzy-Evaluation,AHP,Neural Network and other modern mathematical methods.Construct the technology risk evaluation system of aircraft development,and quantify and evaluate technology risk of the design at last. |
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| Keywords: | Technology risk Evaluation DSS(Decision support system) AHP Fuzzy-evaluation |
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