黄河小浪底旅游开发的国内客源市场分析与预测

黄河小浪底旅游区是河南省旅游业“九五”计划重点建设项目，也是新世纪河南省旅游业发展的龙头景区。文章通过定性与定量相结合的方法，不仅分析了小浪底国内客源市场的趋势和走向，还深度采用趋势分析法、专家咨询法、分级法、平均值法等多种预测方法，对小浪底旅游区国内客源市场进行了深入的分析与预测，从而为小浪底旅游开发及其规划提供了科学依据，同时也希望能为其它新开发旅游区的客源市场分析与预测提供方法借鉴。

Analysis and Forecast on the Xiaolangdi's Domestic Tourism-generating Market

Xiaolangdi tourism area is one of the most important tourism areas in Henan province , it is very important to analyse and forecast its domestic tourism-generating market. This paper adopts qualitative and quantitative methods of study, analyses and forecasts the domestic tourism-generating market of Xiaolangdi with intention to provide with the scientific reference for Xiaolangdi's tourism planning .Meanwhile, it also put foward some suggestions on how to analyse and forecast the tourism-generating market in other new tourism areas.