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A comparative assessment of ensemble learning for credit scoring
Authors:Gang Wang  Jinxing Hao  Jian Ma  Hongbing Jiang
Affiliation:1. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui 230009, PR China;2. Key Laboratory of Process Optimization and Intelligent Decision-making, Ministry of Education, Hefei, Anhui, PR China;3. Department of Information Systems, City University of Hong Kong, Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon, Hong Kong;4. School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, PR China;5. Department of Electronic Commerce, School of Business, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210093, PR China
Abstract:Both statistical techniques and Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have been explored for credit scoring, an important finance activity. Although there are no consistent conclusions on which ones are better, recent studies suggest combining multiple classifiers, i.e., ensemble learning, may have a better performance. In this study, we conduct a comparative assessment of the performance of three popular ensemble methods, i.e., Bagging, Boosting, and Stacking, based on four base learners, i.e., Logistic Regression Analysis (LRA), Decision Tree (DT), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Experimental results reveal that the three ensemble methods can substantially improve individual base learners. In particular, Bagging performs better than Boosting across all credit datasets. Stacking and Bagging DT in our experiments, get the best performance in terms of average accuracy, type I error and type II error.
Keywords:
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