黑河水源调配中的Conflict解析法

跨际河流水源在多主体间调配的Conflict问题的协调与消除始终是关系资源合理利用、保护生态平衡的重要课题,以META—game理论为基础的Conflict数理解析方法,研究分析黑河流域水源调配中利益冲突的主体以及水源调配所涉及Conflict问题,利用META-game理论的Conflict数理解析方法,建立典型模型,然后通过模型,借助Conflict数理分析手段,对问题进行安定分析,寻求问题的答案——均衡解。最终提出Conflict问题消除的、能被矛盾各方接受的推荐方案,供决策部门选择。

Conflict Analysis Method in Water Resources Control and Distribution on Heihe River

Coordinating distribution of water resources of a river across more than one administrative regions is a critic issue connected with rational resource development and environment conservation among different administrative bodies and finally with the resolving problems about water resources distribution among them . By the quantitative analysis and based on META-game theory, this paper has analyzed the conflicts over water distribution among several administrative bodies within the Heihe river basin, and established mathematic models to obtain reasonable recommendation that might benefit and be acceptable to each part in the conflicts in order to end the long time dispute over water distribution in these regions.