| Abstract: | A unique method of predicting lightning outage rates for substations, taking into account statistics‐based lightning characteristics, has been developed. The proposed method features the application of a combination of two processes: a high‐accuracy lightning surge analysis applying the electromagnetic transient program (EMTP) and a statistical data analysis using a general‐purpose spreadsheet software. By employing an original tool applying the proposed prediction method, which is installed in a personal computer, an optimal lightning protection for substations can be designed. In this paper, several analysis models are proposed for lightning characteristics including lightning surge. The validity of the proposed method was confirmed by comparing the transmission line outage rates derived by the models with the outage data gained during actual observations. It was found that the predicted lightning outage rates for 500‐kV substations were relatively low, and this finding revealed that it is possible to decrease the impulse withstand voltage level (LIWV). © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Electr Eng Jpn, 148(2): 64–75, 2004; Published online in Wiley InterScience ( www.interscience.wiley.com ). DOI 10.1002/eej.10300 |
