| 基于证据理论的软件开发风险评估方法 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 鞠彦兵,冯允成,姚李刚.基于证据理论的软件开发风险评估方法[J].系统管理学报,2003,12(3):218-223. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 鞠彦兵 冯允成 姚李刚 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 北京航空航天大学,经济管理学院,北京,100083 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点资助课题(79930900) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 通过将软件开发过程分解为分析、设计、实施阶段,根据决策者对每一阶段的技术风险、费用风险、进度风险的确信度,给出了一种基于Dempster-Shfer证据组合理论的风险评估方法.从而,将软件开发过程中影响风险的多种不确定性定性指标转化为确定的定量指标进行评价.最后通过实例说明了该方法的有效性.
|
| 关 键 词： | 软件开发风险 Dempster-Shfer理论 确信度 风险评价 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-2542(2003)03-0218-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年4月8日 |
Research on the Measure of Risk in the Course of Software Development |
| |
| JU Yan-bing,FENG Yun-cheng,YAO Li-gang.Research on the Measure of Risk in the Course of Software Development[J].Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications,2003,12(3):218-223. |
| |
| Authors: | JU Yan-bing FENG Yun-cheng YAO Li-gang |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on Dempster-Shafer's evidence theory, an evaluation of risk used to evaluate the risks of software development is proposed. This method is obtained through decomposing the process of software development into analyses, design and implement as well, and decision maker's degree of trust about the technology risk, cost risk,advance risk of every stage. By using this method to fuse the uncertain multiattributes affecting the risk of software development, the risk evaluation problem is converted into a difinite multiple attributes evaluation problem. Finally, an example demonstrates the validity of this method. |
| |
| Keywords: | risk of software development Dempster-Shafer theory degree of trust evaluation of risk |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
