基于3E能源优化模型的中国电气化进程研判及定量分析

能源生产消费的电气化既能够承载新能源高效转化，又可以推动能效总体水平提升，是全球能源转型的战略选择。在明确电气化推动能源转型的基础上，分析中国持续提升电气化水平的基本条件，通过国际比较研判了未来全球电气化进程趋势，采用能源电力规划模型以及能源消费预测模型，研究提出了中国再电气化发展战略路径，为推动中国能源转型、有效促进电气化发展提供了决策支撑。

Quantitative Analysis of China's Electrification Process Based on the 3E Optimization Model

The electrification of energy production and consumption, which can not only realize the efficient transformation of massive new energy, but also promote the improvement of the overall level of energy efficiency, is a strategic choice of global energy transformation. The paper clarifies the role of electrification in promoting energy transformation, and analyzes the basic conditions for continuous upgrading of electrification level in China. Based on a study of the international trend of future global electrification process, the paper also proposes the strategic path of China's re-electrification by using the model of energy and electricity planning and the model of energy consumption prediction, which can provide a decision supports for accelerating energy transformation and efficiently promoting the development of electrification in China