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The influence of great earthquakes on volcanic eruption rate along the Chilean subduction zone
Authors:Sebastian FL Watt  David M Pyle  Tamsin A Mather
Affiliation:1. Observatorio Vulcanológico del INGEMMET, Dirección de Geología Ambiental y Riesgo Geológico, Urb. Magisterial B-16, Umacollo, Arequipa, Peru;2. Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, IRD, OPGC, Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, F-63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France;3. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l''Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, F-91198 Gif-sur-Yvette, France;4. Laboratoire Géosciences Océan, Institut Universitaire Européen de la Mer, Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Rue Dumont d''Urville, 29280 Plouzané, France;1. Departamento de Ingeniería Estructural y Geotécnica, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Avenida Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago, Chile;2. Andean Geothermal Center of Excellence (CEGA, FONDAP-CONICYT), Santiago, Chile;3. Departamento de Geología, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile
Abstract:Seismic activity has been postulated as a trigger of volcanic eruption on a range of timescales, but demonstrating the occurrence of triggered eruptions on timescales beyond a few days has proven difficult using global datasets. Here, we use the historic earthquake and eruption records of Chile and the Andean southern volcanic zone to investigate eruption rates following large earthquakes. We show a significant increase in eruption rate following earthquakes of MW > 8, notably in 1906 and 1960, with similar occurrences further back in the record. Eruption rates are enhanced above background levels for ~ 12 months following the 1906 and 1960 earthquakes, with the onset of 3–4 eruptions estimated to have been seismically influenced in each instance. Eruption locations suggest that these effects occur from the near-field to distances of ~ 500 km or more beyond the limits of the earthquake rupture zone. This suggests that both dynamic and static stresses associated with large earthquakes are important in eruption-triggering processes and have the potential to initiate volcanic eruption in arc settings over timescales of several months.
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