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BP网络在三江平原井灌区地下水埋深预测中的应用
引用本文:魏铁军,王永成,刘东.BP网络在三江平原井灌区地下水埋深预测中的应用[J].黑龙江水专学报,2009,36(1):26-30.
作者姓名:魏铁军  王永成  刘东
作者单位:1. 853农场水务局,黑龙江,宝清,155630
2. 正业勘测设计有限公司,哈尔滨,150030
3. 东北农业大学,水利与建筑学院,哈尔滨,150030
摘    要:近些年来,由于水田面积迅速增加,导致三江平原井灌水稻区地下水位持续下降,吊泵、局部超采现象时有发生。为解决上述问题,以853农场为例,采用BP神经网络方法建立了853农场地下水埋深动态预测模型,对地下水埋深进行模拟和预测,精度检验结果表明,模型拟合和预测精度均较高。该模型揭示了研究区域地下水动态变化规律,为三江平原井灌区地下水资源的可持续利用提供了科学依据。

关 键 词:BP网络  井灌区  地下水埋深  时间序列模型  三江平原

BP Network and Its Application in Forecasting Groundwater Embedment Depth of Well Irrigation Area in Sanjiang Plain
WEI Tie-jun,WANG Yong-cheng,LIU Dong.BP Network and Its Application in Forecasting Groundwater Embedment Depth of Well Irrigation Area in Sanjiang Plain[J].Journal of Heilongjiang Hydraulic Engineering College,2009,36(1):26-30.
Authors:WEI Tie-jun  WANG Yong-cheng  LIU Dong
Affiliation:1.Water Conservancy Bureau of 853 Farm;Baoqing 155630;Heilongjiang;China;2.Zhengyie Investigation and Design Co.Ltd.;Harbin 150030;3.College of Water Conservancy & Civil Engineering;Northeast Agricultural University;China
Abstract:The rapid increase of paddy field acreage has led to continually descending of groundwater level in area of well irrigation paddy in Sanjiang Plain,and more and more hanging pump and partial overpumping have been occurring in area of well irrigation paddy in recent years.In order to solve above-mentioned problems,this paper took 853 Farm as example,built up the groundwater embedment depth dynamic prediction model of 853 Farm through applying the method of BP neural network.Through using this model,this pape...
Keywords:BP network  well irrigation area  groundwater embedment depth  time-series model  Sanjiang Plain  
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