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终末期肝病模型及Child—Pugh分级对失代偿期肝硬化患者的预后分析
引用本文:占国清,郑三菊,朱琳,王崇慧,李金科,张薇薇.终末期肝病模型及Child—Pugh分级对失代偿期肝硬化患者的预后分析[J].临床肝胆病杂志,2009,25(2):114-116.
作者姓名:占国清  郑三菊  朱琳  王崇慧  李金科  张薇薇
作者单位:郧阳医学院附属人民医院肝病研究所,湖北,十堰,442000
摘    要:目的探讨终末期肝病模型(MELD)及Child—Pugh评分对失代偿期肝硬化预后评估的应用价值。方法应用MELD评分公式及Child—Pugh分级对136例失代偿期肝硬化患者进行评分及分级,比较两种系统对肝硬化预后的评估。结果分别有19.85%和33.82%患者3个月和6个月内死亡,死亡组MELD和Child—Pugh评分均高于生存组(P〈0.001);MELD评分在3个月预后评估的ROC曲线AUC高于Child—Pugh评分(P〈0.05);生存分析表明MELD与Child—Pugh评分均可有效地分辨6个月内可能生存及死亡的患者(P〈0.005);MELD评分与Child评分显著相关(r=0.67,P〈0.001)。结论MELD评分及Child—Pugh评分均可预测失代偿期肝硬化患者短期预后,MELD评分短期评估优于Child—Pugh分级。

关 键 词:失代偿期肝硬化  MELD评分  Child—Pugh分级  预后

The analysis of prognosis of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis using the criterion of the model for end-stage liver disease and Child-Pugh grading
ZHANG Guo-qing,ZHENG San-ju,ZHU Lin,et al..The analysis of prognosis of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis using the criterion of the model for end-stage liver disease and Child-Pugh grading[J].Chinese Journal of Clinical Hepatology,2009,25(2):114-116.
Authors:ZHANG Guo-qing  ZHENG San-ju  ZHU Lin  
Affiliation:Department of Hepatology;People Hospitol;Yunyang Medical College;Shiyan 442000;China
Abstract:Objective To investigate the prognosis value of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease(MELD)and Child-Pugh grading in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.Methods 136 patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis were graded with MELD formula and with Child-Pugh,and the prognosis value were compared.Results 19.85% and 33.82% of the died within three and six month term respectively,MELD and Child-Pugh score for deaths were higher than those for survivors significantly(P<0.001).Area under the ROC of MELD ...
Keywords:Decompensated liver cirrhosis  Model for End-stage Liver Disease scoring  Child-Pugh grading  Prognosis  
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