肺小细胞神经内分泌癌MDCT征象分析

目的:探讨肺小细胞神经分泌癌的MDCT表现特征。方法:对具有完整胸部MDCT资料并经病理证实的28例肺小细胞神经内分泌癌CT表现进行回顾性分析。结果:中央型肺小细胞神经内分泌癌18例（64％），支气管管壁增厚伴肺内肿块或结节17例（94％），纵隔或肺门淋巴结肿大15例（83％），增强扫描可见肿块与肿大淋巴结明显不均匀强化，周围型肺小细胞神经内分泌癌10例（36％），密度均匀，呈分叶状，强化明显，CT无特征性表现。结论:肺小细胞神经内分泌癌主要征象以支气管管壁增厚伴肺门区肿块为主，多伴有肺门、纵膈淋巴结转移。      

Diagnosing snow accumulation errors in a rain‐snow transitional environment with snow board observations

Diagnosing the source of errors in snow models requires intensive observations, a flexible model framework to test competing hypotheses, and a methodology to systematically test the dominant snow processes. We present a novel process‐based approach to diagnose model errors through an example that focuses on snow accumulation processes (precipitation partitioning, new snow density, and snow compaction). Twelve years of meteorological and snow board measurements were used to identify the main source of model error on each snow accumulation day. Results show that modeled values of new snow density were outside observational uncertainties in 52% of days available for evaluation, while precipitation partitioning and compaction were in error 45% and 16% of the time, respectively. Precipitation partitioning errors mattered more for total winter accumulation during the anomalously warm winter of 2014–2015, when a higher fraction of precipitation fell within the temperature range where partition methods had the largest error. These results demonstrate how isolating individual model processes can identify the primary source(s) of model error, which helps prioritize future research.     

地下水环境健康分功能模糊评价方法

以往的地下水环境健康研究忽视了单个地下水功能对地下水环境健康的决定作用,因此当不同功能的健康程度差别较大时,地下水环境健康的模糊评价结果被平均化,而得到不合理的结论。提出分功能模糊评价方法,并用其评价郑州、开封、新乡和濮阳四城市地下水环境健康状况。结果表明:分功能模糊评价方法不仅可以得到研究区地下水环境的整体健康状况,而且能得到地下水环境不同的功能或属性的健康状况,能够反映研究区地下水的保护、开发和管理的重点。此外,虽然采用数学方法选择评价因子能够避免人类的主观臆断,提高工作效率,但它可能会忽略重要因子或引入扰动因子,所以需要人工检查数学方法筛选出的评价因子。客观赋权方法无法根据各因子的实际意义给出各因子的合理权重,因此需要人工检查和调整各因子权重的分配,从而避免得出错误的评价结果。     

2003年夏季华南持续高温天气过程及热力诊断

利用华南观测的逐日最高气温资料和NCEP逐日再分析资料,对2003年6月29日—8月15日华南持续高温过程的大气环流背景、动力和热力条件进行了诊断分析。结果表明,2003年6月29日—8月15日华南大范围持续高温的前2段高温峰期与副高有关,第3段高温期大陆高压有关,而且3次高温过程都与热带气旋外围下沉气流有密切联系,而前2次持续高温的缓解都与热带气旋登陆和影响华南地区有密切联系。热力诊断发现,3段持续高温期间,近地层大气的局地增温主要是由非绝热加热作用(白天地表感热通量和地面长波辐射加热)造成的,水平温度平流对局地增温作用有负贡献。高温天气过程的晴空少云天气背景有利于白天太阳辐射加热地面,并可造成明显的地面感热通量和地面长波辐射加热近地面层大气,从而导致了持续高温天气过程。     

甘肃武威市一次局地大到暴雨天气成因分析

利用常规天气图、FY-2D卫星云图、单站地面资料、NCEP再分析物理量场资料,对2013年8月6日发生在甘肃武威市对流性强降雨天气成因进行了诊断分析。结果表明:强降雨是在一定的大尺度环流背景下高低层天气系统共同作用下发生的,地面气象要素的剧烈变化是强对流天气能量的释放过程;湿度条件和水汽在本地辐合为大到暴雨提供了充沛的水汽;高层辐散、低层辐合以及强烈的上升气流是大到暴雨发生的动力条件;强烈的不稳定能量和不稳定层结是对流增强、雨强较大的必要条件;对流云团的发展和加强是降雨强度较大的直接原因。     

一次台风变性并入东北冷涡过程的动力诊断分析

台风北移变性并入东北冷涡是造成东北地区夏季大范围暴雨的主要形式之一, 但其中的热动力结构变化特征及其物理机制尚不清晰。本文利用美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)的再分析资料对一次台风变性并入东北冷涡过程进行动力诊断分析, 分析结果显示:冷涡冷空气的不断侵入以及台风移动形成的相对冷平流使得台风暖心结构消亡, 其低层低压辐合和高层高压辐散结构消失, 变性并入东北冷涡后气旋整层偏冷, 低层出现冷中心。台风变性并入东北冷涡过程中, 冷涡中心附近高空急流南侧的反气旋切变抑制气旋直接往高空发展, 而急流轴左侧的热动力分布特征有利于垂直涡度的发展, 变性后的气旋环流向冷涡的移近有利于急流轴维持倾斜, 从而促进气旋向高空冷涡倾斜发展。同时, 冷空气在气旋低层附近堆积导致等假相当位温线发生倾斜, 造成垂直涡度在气旋中层倾斜发展。台风变性并入东北冷涡后, 高空冷涡槽底的正垂直涡度平流促进气旋由中层直接向高层发展, 而高空冷涡槽底急流促进正垂直涡度平流的维持。气旋高空环流的发展反过来削弱了东北冷涡的高层环流, 导致高空冷涡中心出现北撤。     

基于生态系统的上海崇明东滩海岸带生态系统退化诊断

海岸带是资源与环境条件最为优越的区域,也是与人类发展关系最为密切的区域之一。本文选择上海崇明东滩海岸带生态系统为研究示范区,在对崇明东滩海岸带生态系统结构分析的基础上,基于"压力-状态-响应"模型构建海岸带生态系统退化诊断指标体系,定量评估了崇明东滩海岸带生态系统退化状况。结果表明,从2000年至2008年,崇明东滩海岸带生态系统整体上表现为健康,局部区域表现为轻微退化,轻微退化的面积分别为25.71km2(2000)、16.66km2(2003)、18.16km2(2005)和40.46km2(2008)。自然湿地生态系统是崇明东滩海岸带中一个重要的生态系统类型,2000年至2008年,崇明东滩自然湿地生态系统大部分面积保持在健康的状态,大规模的围垦工程和外来物种互花米草入侵是造成自然湿地生态系统退化的主要原因。2000年至2008年,崇明东滩农业生态系统整体上表现为健康状态,产业结构不合理和由于化肥、农药使用造成的环境恶化等问题,是造成崇明东滩海岸带农业生态系统局部区域发生退化的主要原因。人口增长和经济发展引起的现有资源的过度使用和环境恶化等问题,使得城镇生态系统健康面临巨大挑战,在2005年表现为轻微退化。本文的研究方法可为我国其它地区海岸带生态系统管理和建设提供理论依据和示范案例。     

On the Forced Tangentially-Averaged Radial-Vertical Circulation within Vortices. Part II: The Transformation of Tropical Storm Haima (2004)

A real case study for the transformation of Tropical Storm (TS) Haima (2004) into an extratropical cyclone (EC) is carried out numerically since,after landfall,Haima (2004) (as an EC) brought severe weather to a large area (from the south to the north) in China during 13-16 September 2004.With the linear diagnostic model (derived in a previous study) for the tangentially-averaged radial-vertical circulation within vortices moving on the spherical Earth,Haima’s (2004) life cycle is reconstructed noticeably well.Therefore,the major contributor could be identified confidently for Haima’s (2004) extratropical transition based on the diagnostic model outputs.The quantitative comparison shows that up to a 90% contribution to the innerregion updraft and a 55% contribution to the upper-layer outflow come from latent heating during Haima’s (2004) TS stage.Up to a 90% contribution to the inner-region updraft and nearly a 100% contribution to the upper-layer outflow come from the upper-layer eddy angular momentum advection (EAMA) during Haima’s (2004) EC stage.Representing the asymmetric structure of the storm,the predominantly positive contribution of the upper-layer EAMA to Haima’s (2004) transformation is closely associated with the Sshaped westerlies in the upper layer with two jets.One jet in the cyclonic-curvature area carries cyclonic angular momentum into the storm,and the other jet in the anticyclonic-curvature area carries anticyclonic angular momentum out of the storm.Consequently,the newly-increased cyclonic tangential wind is deflected by the Coriolis force to the right to form the upper-layer outflow accompanied by the central-area rising motion,leading to Haima’s (2004) extratropical transition after its landfall.     

Testing resilience thinking in a poverty context: Experience from the Niger River basin

Resilience thinking is an important addition to the range of frameworks and approaches that can be used to understand and manage complex social–ecological systems like small-scale fisheries. However, it is yet to lead to better environmental or development outcomes for fisheries stakeholders in terms of food security, improved livelihoods and ecological sustainability. This paper takes an empirical approach by focusing on the fundamentals of resilience thinking to evaluate its usefulness in developing relevant management interventions in small-scale fisheries in the Niger River Basin in West Africa. The paper presents the outputs of a participatory assessment exercise where both fishery communities and local experts were involved at two different scales. The resilience frame used was designed to facilitate the identification of socially defined thresholds that help delineate the desirability of the current system configuration and provides a diagnosis framework that tailors management solutions to problems in local context. The analysis highlights some key contributions from resilience thinking to the challenge of diagnosis in small-scale fisheries management in developing countries, as well as important contributions that emerge from taking a pragmatic and critical approach to its application.     

基于March算法的三态内容寻址存储器的故障诊断及实现

介绍了三态内容寻址存储器的硬件组成,分析了三态内容寻址存储器的工作原理,结合March算法的理论设计了三态内容寻址存储器故障诊断的方法,并介绍了故障检测的流程,在VxWorks的操作系统下以Tornado为开发平台实现了三态内容寻址存储器的故障诊断功能,最后给出了实验结果。实际应用表明结果可靠性能高能满足用户的需求。