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1.
ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study is to examine local level spatiotemporal rainfall and temperature variability in drought-prone districts of rural Sidama, Central Rift Valley region of Ethiopia. The study used 129 gridded monthly rainfall and temperature data of 32 years (1983–2014). The gridded rainfall and temperature records were encoded into GIS software and evaluated through different statistical and geospatial techniques. Mann-Kendal rank test and F distribution tests were used to test temporal and spatial statistical significance, respectively, of the data. The analysis revealed that Belg and Kiremt are the main rainfall seasons, constituting 81% of the annual rainfall. Although annual, Kiremt, and Belg rainfall amounts appear to have decreased over time, the decreasing trend is statistically significant only for Belg rainfall records. On the other hand, rainfall standard anomaly results indicated seven droughts of different magnitudes: one extreme, two severe, and four moderate. The study also revealed increasing temperature trends over the years under consideration that are statistically significant. The findings of this study on rainfall contradict other findings obtained around the study area. Thus, climate change adaptations need to focus on location-specific climate data analysis so that the intended adaptive interventions can be successful. 相似文献
2.
After the survey of pollution sources, a study on surface water quality assessment and forecast is given by means of grey
system method, fuzzy mathematical method and multiple-index method. Based on it, aquatic environment quality features, treatment
measures and environmental strategies of the area are proposed. The quality of aquatic environment of 5 rivers in the Tumen
River area is studied. The results show that the pollution of surface water is serious; water quality of most rivers is between
grade IV and V except the Hunchun River, being higher than grade IV standard; pollution levels of most rivers have been basically
controlled except the of Burhatong River, which is deteriorating gradually. Pollutants of the rivers are comparatively regular,
mainly are SS, COD, BOD, AR-OH, NH3-N. The main pollution trades are chemical fibre industry, pulp and paper making industry and mining industry. If the growth
rate of gross industrial product is higher than 25 percent under the encouraging-model of regional exploitation, the pollutants’
load will overtake the bearing capacity of aquatic environment. Thus some protection program against pollution must be worked
out in order to achieve the harmonious development of economy society and environment.
A project from “Studies on Earlier Stage of Regional Development” of the Chinese Academy of Sciences 相似文献
3.
赵守尧 《成都信息工程学院学报》1994,(1)
本文使用天气学方法,从影响雅砻江区域主汛期降水量的长期预报有关因子出发,再运用数理统计方法反复筛选,仅取3个主要因子:西部青藏高原8个站冬春积温,北部冬季极涡面积指数,南部冬季印缅槽平均强度,建立逐步回归预报方程。结果显示:对主汛期6~9月降水量预报拟合准确率为16/17即约94%。回归分析中发现:尽管西太平洋副热带高压对盆地西部降水有很大影响,盛夏且与高原积温有较密切相关,但由放大范围长时段的青藏高原积温,对于雅砻江区域主汛期降水量的影响超过西太平洋副热高压,因而在逐步回归过程中,副高因子仍被剔除. 相似文献
4.
对武汉区域气象中心并行计算机系统进行了详细地介绍,分析了并行计算机体系结构、网络和存储系统特点;给出了在并行计算机SP上实现数值预报业务并行化的部分结果;对数值预报模式在串、并行编程环境下的结果进行了分析比较。 相似文献
5.
Wang Yanhui 《水文研究》1992,6(2):241-251
Black locust (Robina pseudoacacia) has become one of the most important shelter species in the loess area of northwest China. This paper summarizes recent research concerning its hydrological influence, including canopy interception, litter absorption capacity, its effect on rainfall kinetic energy, infiltration rates, surface runoff, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration, and its role in soil conservation. Several predictive models are listed. on the basis of existing results, optimum characteristics for an effective plantation are defined, and problems requiring further research are identified. 相似文献
6.
利用西安数字地震遥测台网记录的数字地震资料,采用P波初动半周期残差法求得1998年7月临猗5.0级地震前后不同路径的Q(品质因子)值变化,发现在地震发生前Q值为87~203,震后Q值为67~164,震前震中区附近出现明显的高Q值异常。结果表明,地震前的高Q值异常可以作为地震预测的一种手段。 相似文献
7.
The summer monsoon season of the year 2006 was highlighted by an unprecedented number of monsoon lows over the central and
the western parts of India, particularly giving widespread rainfall over Gujarat and Rajasthan. Ahmedabad had received 540.2mm
of rainfall in the month of August 2006 against the climatological mean of 219.8mm. The two spells of very heavy rainfall
of 108.4mm and 97.7mm were recorded on 8 and 12 August 2006 respectively. Due to meteorological complexities involved in replicating
the rainfall occurrences over a region, the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF-ARW version) modeling system with two different
cumulus schemes in a nested configuration is chosen for simulating these events. The spatial distributions of large-scale
circulation and moisture fields have been simulated reasonably well in this model, though there are some spatial biases in
the simulated rainfall pattern. The rainfall amount over Ahmedabad has been underestimated by both the cumulus parameterization
schemes. The quantitative validation of the simulated rainfall is done by calculating the categorical skill scores like frequency
bias, threat scores (TS) and equitable threat scores (ETS). In this case the KF scheme has outperformed the GD scheme for
the low precipitation threshold. 相似文献
8.
Mapping susceptibility of rainfall-triggered shallow landslides using a probabilistic approach 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
To prepare a landslide susceptibility map is essential to identify hazardous regions, construct appropriate mitigation facilities,
and plan emergency measures for a region prone to landslides triggered by rainfall. The conventional mapping methods require
much information about past landslides records and contributing terrace and rainfall. They also rely heavily on the quantity
and quality of accessible information and subjectively of the map builder. This paper contributes to a systematic and quantitative
assessment of mapping landslide hazards over a region. Geographical Information System is implemented to retrieve relevant
parameters from data layers, including the spatial distribution of transient fluid pressures, which is estimated using the
TRIGRS program. The factor of safety of each pixel in the study region is calculated analytically. Monte Carlo simulation
of random variables is conducted to process the estimation of fluid pressure and factor of safety for multiple times. The
failure probability of each pixel is thus estimated. These procedures of mapping landslide potential are demonstrated in a
case history. The analysis results reveal a positive correlation between landslide probability and accumulated rainfall. This
approach gives simulation results compared to field records. The location and size of actual landslide are well predicted.
An explanation for some of the inconsistencies is also provided to emphasize the importance of site information on the accuracy
of mapping results. 相似文献
9.
10.
David P. Bacon Nash’at N. Ahmad Thomas J. Dunn Michael C. Monteith Ananthakrishna Sarma 《Natural Hazards》2008,44(3):317-327
By definition, a crisis is a situation that requires assistance to be managed. Hence, response to a crisis involves the merging
of local and non-local emergency response personnel. In this situation, it is critical that each participant: (1) know the
roles and responsibilities of each of the other participants; (2) know the capabilities of each of the participants; and (3)
have a common basis for action. For many types of natural disasters, this entails having a common operational picture of the unfolding events, including detailed information on the weather, both current and forecasted, that may impact on either
the emergency itself or on response activities. The Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) is a comprehensive package of
hazard prediction models and casualty and damage assessment tools that provides a linkage between a modeled or observed effect
and the attendant consequences for populations, infrastructure, and resources, and, hence, provides the common operational
picture for emergency response. The Operational Multiscale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) is an atmospheric
simulation system that links the latest methods in computational fluid dynamics and high-resolution gridding technologies
with numerical weather prediction to provide specific weather analysis and forecast capability that can be merged into the
geographic information system framework of CATS. This paper documents the problem of emergency response as an end-to-end system
and presents the integrated CATS–OMEGA system as a prototype of such a system that has been used successfully in a number
of different situations. 相似文献