全文获取类型
收费全文 | 17290篇 |
免费 | 44篇 |
国内免费 | 52篇 |
学科分类
自然科学 | 17386篇 |
出版年
2013年 | 90篇 |
2012年 | 240篇 |
2011年 | 414篇 |
2010年 | 93篇 |
2008年 | 259篇 |
2007年 | 283篇 |
2006年 | 315篇 |
2005年 | 304篇 |
2004年 | 410篇 |
2003年 | 280篇 |
2002年 | 275篇 |
2001年 | 491篇 |
2000年 | 451篇 |
1999年 | 332篇 |
1992年 | 290篇 |
1991年 | 227篇 |
1990年 | 241篇 |
1989年 | 239篇 |
1988年 | 203篇 |
1987年 | 235篇 |
1986年 | 281篇 |
1985年 | 336篇 |
1984年 | 231篇 |
1983年 | 227篇 |
1982年 | 205篇 |
1981年 | 217篇 |
1980年 | 225篇 |
1979年 | 566篇 |
1978年 | 476篇 |
1977年 | 438篇 |
1976年 | 342篇 |
1975年 | 407篇 |
1974年 | 567篇 |
1973年 | 456篇 |
1972年 | 479篇 |
1971年 | 557篇 |
1970年 | 698篇 |
1969年 | 542篇 |
1968年 | 540篇 |
1967年 | 537篇 |
1966年 | 432篇 |
1965年 | 372篇 |
1964年 | 121篇 |
1959年 | 193篇 |
1958年 | 330篇 |
1957年 | 247篇 |
1956年 | 190篇 |
1955年 | 192篇 |
1954年 | 190篇 |
1948年 | 127篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Methods for backcasting,nowcasting and forecasting using factor‐MIDAS: With an application to Korean GDP 下载免费PDF全文
We utilize mixed‐frequency factor‐MIDAS models for the purpose of carrying out backcasting, nowcasting, and forecasting experiments using real‐time data. We also introduce a new real‐time Korean GDP dataset, which is the focus of our experiments. The methodology that we utilize involves first estimating common latent factors (i.e., diffusion indices) from 190 monthly macroeconomic and financial series using various estimation strategies. These factors are then included, along with standard variables measured at multiple different frequencies, in various factor‐MIDAS prediction models. Our key empirical findings as follows. (i) When using real‐time data, factor‐MIDAS prediction models outperform various linear benchmark models. Interestingly, the “MSFE‐best” MIDAS models contain no autoregressive (AR) lag terms when backcasting and nowcasting. AR terms only begin to play a role in “true” forecasting contexts. (ii) Models that utilize only one or two factors are “MSFE‐best” at all forecasting horizons, but not at any backcasting and nowcasting horizons. In these latter contexts, much more heavily parametrized models with many factors are preferred. (iii) Real‐time data are crucial for forecasting Korean gross domestic product, and the use of “first available” versus “most recent” data “strongly” affects model selection and performance. (iv) Recursively estimated models are almost always “MSFE‐best,” and models estimated using autoregressive interpolation dominate those estimated using other interpolation methods. (v) Factors estimated using recursive principal component estimation methods have more predictive content than those estimated using a variety of other (more sophisticated) approaches. This result is particularly prevalent for our “MSFE‐best” factor‐MIDAS models, across virtually all forecast horizons, estimation schemes, and data vintages that are analyzed. 相似文献
2.
3.
杨建荣 《科技情报开发与经济》2004,14(6):157-158
根据我国当前电力系统运行情况,对电网无功功率补偿的必要性及通用补偿方法及其装置进行了具体阐述。 相似文献
4.
董文伟 《科技情报开发与经济》2004,14(6):296-297
以具体工程为例,介绍了建筑物地基处理的设计、施工中遵循的原则,施工中遇到特殊情况时采取的处理方法和必要的检测方法,对几种桩基的设计要求、施工工艺及过程、质量控制等情况进行了简单阐述。 相似文献
5.
王永红 《科技情报开发与经济》2004,14(6):139-141
通过1998年、2000年的试验研究,系统分析了顶凌覆盖技术在高寒区节水增温保温、增产增收的机理及其应用效果。提出该技术可以缓解低温干旱特别是春旱对农业生产的困扰,是一项可以抗旱保春播增产增收的实用技术,在高寒地区具有较高的推广价值。 相似文献
6.
7.
Tissue-specific and reversible RNA interference in transgenic mice 总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11
Dickins RA McJunkin K Hernando E Premsrirut PK Krizhanovsky V Burgess DJ Kim SY Cordon-Cardo C Zender L Hannon GJ Lowe SW 《Nature genetics》2007,39(7):914-921
Genetically engineered mice provide powerful tools for understanding mammalian gene function. These models traditionally rely on gene overexpression from transgenes or targeted, irreversible gene mutation. By adapting the tetracycline (tet)-responsive system previously used for gene overexpression, we have developed a simple transgenic system to reversibly control endogenous gene expression using RNA interference (RNAi) in mice. Transgenic mice harboring a tet-responsive RNA polymerase II promoter driving a microRNA-based short hairpin RNA targeting the tumor suppressor Trp53 reversibly express short hairpin RNA when crossed with existing mouse strains expressing general or tissue-specific 'tet-on' or 'tet-off' transactivators. Reversible Trp53 knockdown can be achieved in several tissues, and restoring Trp53 expression in lymphomas whose development is promoted by Trp53 knockdown leads to tumor regression. By leaving the target gene unaltered, this approach permits tissue-specific, reversible regulation of endogenous gene expression in vivo, with potential broad application in basic biology and drug target validation. 相似文献
8.
Recombination and linkage disequilibrium in Arabidopsis thaliana 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Kim S Plagnol V Hu TT Toomajian C Clark RM Ossowski S Ecker JR Weigel D Nordborg M 《Nature genetics》2007,39(9):1151-1155
Linkage disequilibrium (LD) is a major aspect of the organization of genetic variation in natural populations. Here we describe the genome-wide pattern of LD in a sample of 19 Arabidopsis thaliana accessions using 341,602 non-singleton SNPs. LD decays within 10 kb on average, considerably faster than previously estimated. Tag SNP selection algorithms and 'hide-the-SNP' simulations suggest that genome-wide association mapping will require only 40%-50% of the observed SNPs, a reduction similar to estimates in a sample of African Americans. An Affymetrix genotyping array containing 250,000 SNPs has been designed based on these results; we demonstrate that it should have more than adequate coverage for genome-wide association mapping. The extent of LD is highly variable, and we find clear evidence of recombination hotspots, which seem to occur preferentially in intergenic regions. LD also reflects the action of selection, and it is more extensive between nonsynonymous polymorphisms than between synonymous polymorphisms. 相似文献
9.
Komen JC Distelmaier F Koopman WJ Wanders RJ Smeitink J Willems PH 《Cellular and molecular life sciences : CMLS》2007,64(24):3271-3281
Refsum disease is a rare, inherited neurodegenerative disorder characterized by accumulation of the dietary branched-chain
fatty acid phytanic acid in plasma and tissues caused by a defect in the alphaoxidation pathway. The accumulation of phytanic
acid is believed to be the main pathophysiological cause of the disease. However, the exact mechanism(s) by which phytanic
acid exerts its toxicity have not been resolved. In this study, the effect of phytanic acid on mitochondrial respiration was
investigated. The results show that in digitonin-permeabilized fibroblasts, phytanic acid decreases ATP synthesis, whereas
substrate oxidation per se is not affected. Importantly, studies in intact fibroblasts revealed that phytanic acid decreases both the mitochondrial
membrane potential and NAD(P)H autofluorescence. Taken together, the results described here show that unesterified phytanic
acid exerts its toxic effect mainly through its protonophoric action, at least in human skin fibroblasts.
Received 4 August 2007; received after revision 26 September 2007; accepted 10 October 2007
J. C. Komen, F. Distelmaier: These authors contributed equally to this work. 相似文献
10.
1 Results Oxy-apatite materials are thought as zirconia-substitutes in Solid Oxide Fuel Cells due to their fast ionic conduction. However, the well known difficulties related to their densification prevent them from being used as such. This study presents strategies to obtain oxy-apatite dense materials and the influence of elaboration route on transport properties. Particular emphasis is put on the microstructure effect on ion conduction. By the combined use of freeze-drying and conventional or spark p... 相似文献