Moderators of nonverbal indicators of deception: A meta-analytic synthesis.

In many legal proceedings, fact finders scrutinize the demeanor of a defendant or witness, particularly his or her nonverbal behavior, for indicators of deception. This meta-analysis investigated directly observable nonverbal correlates of deception as a function of different moderator variables. Although lay people and professionals alike assume that many nonverbal behaviors are displayed more frequently while lying, of 11 different behaviors observable in the head and body area, only 3 were reliably associated with deception. Nodding, foot and leg movements, and hand movements were negatively related to deception in the overall analyses weighted by sample size. Most people assume that nonverbal behaviors increase while lying; however, these behaviors decreased, whereas others showed no change. There was no evidence that people avoid eye contact while lying, although around the world, gaze aversion is deemed the most important signal of deception. Most effect sizes were found to be heterogeneous. Analyses of moderator variables revealed that many of the observed relationships varied as a function of content, motivation, preparation, sanctioning of the lie, experimental design, and operationalization. Existing theories cannot readily account for the heterogeneity in findings. Thus, practitioners are cautioned against using these indicators in assessing the truthfulness of oral reports. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Exact solutions for characterization of electro-elastically graded materials

The present paper deals with a class of functionally graded materials (FGM), called active FGM that has electro-elastically graded material phases. An active FGM system leads to minimization of stress concentration that arises due to mismatch in the electrical and elastic properties of the constituent phases. This work focuses on the characterization of the through thickness stresses of an active FGM subjected to electrical excitation. The structure is comprised of a substrate, an electro-elastically graded layer and an active layer. A formulation for exact solutions of the system based on Euler–Bernoulli theory is presented. Power-law variation of the composition of the two phases in the graded layer is considered. Performance of linearly gradient FGM for a range of stiffness and electrical property ratios of the active and substrate materials have been studied. It is observed that the electrical strain component and the compositional gradation significantly influence the stress characteristics of the active FGM.     

Interpretation of the results of the CORA-33 dry core boiling water reactor test

All boiling water reactor (BWR) degraded core experiments performed prior to CORA-33 were conducted under ‘wet’ core degradation conditions, in which water remains within the core and continuous steaming feeds metal-steam oxidation reactions on the in-core metallic surfaces. However, one dominant set of accident scenarios would occur with reduced metal oxidation under ‘dry’ core degradation conditions and, prior to CORA-33, this set had been neglected experimentally. The CORA-33 experiment was designed specifically to address this dominant set of BWR ‘dry’ core severe accident scenarios and to resolve partially phenomenological uncertainties concerning the behavior of relocating metallic melts that drain into the lower regions of a ‘dry’ BWR core (the ex-reactor experiments at Sandia National Laboratories will further address these uncertainties). CORA-33 was conducted on 1 October 1992, in the CORA test facility at Karlsruhe. A review of the CORA-33 data indicates that the objectives were achieved; i.e. core degradation occurred at a core heat-up rate (characterized by the absence of any temperature escalation caused by oxidation) and a test section axial temperature profile (at incipient structural melting) that are prototypic of full-core nuclear power plant simulations under ‘dry’ core conditions. Simulations of the CORA-33 test at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) have required the modification of existing control blade-canister materials interaction models to include the eutectic melting of the stainless steel-zircaloy interaction products and the heat of mixing of stainless steel and zircaloy. The timing and location of canister failure and melt intrusion into the fuel assembly appear to be adequately simulated by the ORNL models. This paper will present the results of the post-test analyses carried out at ORNL based on the experimental data and the post-test examination of the test bundle at Karlsruhe. The implications of these results with respect to degraded core modelling and the associated safety issues are also discussed.     

RECURSIVE GENERALIZED M ESTIMATES FOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING-AVERAGE MODELS

Abstract. Outliers in time series seriously affect conventional parameter estimates. In this paper a robust recursive estimation procedure for the parameters of auto-regressve moving-average models with additive outliers is proposed. Using 'cleaned' residuals from an initial robust fit of an autoregression of high order as input, bounded influence regression is applied recursively. The proposal follows certain ideas of Hannan and Rissanen, who suggested a three-stage procedure for order and parameter estimation in a conventional setting.
A Monte Carlo study is performed to investigate the robustness properties of the proposed class of estimates and to compare them with various other suggestions, including least squares, M estimates, residual autocovariance and truncated residual autocovariance estimates. The results show that the recursive generalized M estimates compare favourably with them. Finally, possible modifications to master even vigourous situations are suggested.