Impact of Climate Change on Future Flood Susceptibility: an Evaluation Based on Deep Learning Algorithms and GCM Model

Floods are common and recurring natural hazards which damages is the destruction for society. Several regions of the world with different climatic conditions face the challenge of floods in different magnitudes. Here we estimate flood susceptibility based on Analytical neural network (ANN), Deep learning neural network (DLNN) and Deep boost (DB) algorithm approach. We also attempt to estimate the future rainfall scenario, using the General circulation model (GCM) with its ensemble. The Representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenario is employed for estimating the future rainfall in more an authentic way. The validation of all models was done with considering different indices and the results show that the DB model is most optimal as compared to the other models. According to the DB model, the spatial coverage of very low, low, moderate, high and very high flood prone region is 68.20%, 9.48%, 5.64%, 7.34% and 9.33% respectively. The approach and results in this research would be beneficial to take the decision in managing this natural hazard in a more efficient way.

     

NN-based Prediction Interval for Nonlinear Processes Controller

Neural networks (NNs) are extensively used in modelling, optimization, and control of nonlinear plants. NN-based inverse type point prediction models are commonly used for nonlinear process control. However, prediction errors (root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc.) significantly increase in the presence of disturbances and uncertainties. In contrast to point forecast, prediction interval (PI)-based forecast bears extra information such as the prediction accuracy. The PI provides tighter upper and lower bounds with considering uncertainties due to the model mismatch and time dependent or time independent noises for a given confidence level. The use of PIs in the NN controller (NNC) as additional inputs can improve the controller performance. In the present work, the PIs are utilized in control applications, in particular PIs are integrated in the NN internal model-based control framework. A PI-based model that developed using lower upper bound estimation method (LUBE) is used as an online estimator of PIs for the proposed PI-based controller (PIC). PIs along with other inputs for a traditional NN are used to train the PIC to predict the control signal. The proposed controller is tested for two case studies. These include, a chemical reactor, which is a continuous stirred tank reactor (case 1) and a numerical nonlinear plant model (case 2). Simulation results reveal that the tracking performance of the proposed controller is superior to the traditional NNC in terms of setpoint tracking and disturbance rejections. More precisely, 36% and 15% improvements can be achieved using the proposed PIC over the NNC in terms of IAE for case 1 and case 2, respectively for setpoint tracking with step changes.

     

Using AR,MA, and ARMA Time Series Models to Improve the Performance of MARS and KNN Approaches in Monthly Precipitation Modeling under Limited Climatic Data

Precipitation is one of the most important components of the hydrologic cycle as it is required for multi-objective applications including flood estimation, drought monitoring, watersheds management, hydrology, agriculture, etc. Therefore, its estimation and modeling via a suitable method is a challenging task for hydrologists. The present study seeks to model monthly precipitation at two stations located in Iran. Two artificial intelligence (AI)-based models consisting of multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and k-nearest neighbors (KNN) were used as the modeling techniques. In doing so, nine single-input scenarios under limited climatic data are implemented using minimum, maximum, and mean air temperatures, dew point temperature, station pressure, vapor pressure, relative humidity, wind speed, and antecedent precipitation data. The attained results illustrate that the performance of single MARS and KNN is relatively poor when modeling the monthly precipitation. Additionally, this study develops hybrid models to enhance the precipitation modeling through combining the MARS and KNN models with three diverse types of the time series (TS) models, namely autoregressive (AR), moving average (MA), and autoregressive moving average (ARMA). The most important justification for integrating the models applied is that the AI and TS-based models are respectively capable of modeling the non-linear and linear terms of the hydrological variables such as precipitation. It is therefore necessary to be considered both of the aforementioned terms in the modeling procedure. A performance comparison of the single and hybrid models denotes the higher accuracy of hybrid models than the single ones. However, the hybrid models generated by combining the KNN and the TS models used are the best-performing models.

     

VLSI and SPICE modeling of ALU

The Arithmetic and Logic Unit （ALU） is a combination circuit that performs a number of arithmetic and logical operations within a microprocessor. The demand for faster and compact ALUs makes it desirable to test the ALU in conjunction with pre-design parts prior to manufacture. This may be accomplished in a process using CAD and SPICE simulation software. Our purpose is to realize a method for importing a layout drawn in Tanner L-edit and simulated in T-Spice into PSpice which is referred to as software talking. To do so we use an eight-function instruction set called Complimentary Metal Oxide Semiconductor Arithmetic and Logic Unit （CMOS ALU） which is laid out in Tanner L-edit and produces an extracted net-list which is simulated in T-Spice. An ALU equivalent design is then modeled in PSpice for further testing with pre-manufactured parts of the PSpice library.     

Modeling soft granular materials

Soft-grain materials such as clays and other colloidal pastes share the common feature of being composed of grains that can undergo large deformations without rupture. For the simulation of such materials, we present two alternative methods: (1) an implicit formulation of the material point method (MPM), in which each grain is discretized as a collection of material points, and (2) the bonded particle model (BPM), in which each soft grain is modeled as an aggregate of rigid particles using the contact dynamics method. In the MPM, a linear elastic behavior is used for the grains. In order to allow the aggregates in the BPM to deform without breaking, we use long-range center-to-center attraction forces between the primary particles belonging to each grain together with steric repulsion at their contact points. We show that these interactions lead to a plastic behavior of the grains. Using both methods, we analyze the uniaxial compaction of 2D soft granular packings. This process is nonlinear and involves both grain rearrangements and large deformations. High packing fractions beyond the jamming state are reached as a result of grain shape change for both methods. We discuss the stress-strain and volume change behavior as well as the evolution of the connectivity of the grains. Similar textures are observed at large deformations although the BPM requires higher stress than the MPM to reach the same level of packing fraction.     

Nonlocal buckling and vibration analysis of thick rectangular nanoplates using finite strip method based on refined plate theory

The buckling and vibration of thick rectangular nanoplates is analyzed in this article. A graphene sheet is theoretically assumed and modeled as a nanoplate in this study. The two-variable refined plate theory (RPT) is applied to obtain the differential equations of the nanoplate. The theory accounts for parabolic variation of transverse shear stress through the thickness of the plate without using a shear correction factor. Besides, the analysis is based on the nonlocal theory of elasticity to take the small-scale effects into account. For the first time, the finite strip method (FSM) based on RPT is employed to study the vibration and buckling behavior of nanoplates and graphene sheets. Hamilton’s principle is employed to obtain the differential equations of the nanoplate. The stiffness, stability and mass matrices of the nanoplate are formed using the FSM. The displacement functions of the strips are evaluated using continuous harmonic function series which satisfy the boundary conditions in one direction and a piecewise interpolation polynomial in the other direction. A matrix eigenvalue problem is solved to find the free vibration frequency and buckling load of the nanoplates subjected to different types of in-plane loadings including the uniform and nonuniform uni-axial and biaxial compression. Comparison studies are presented to verify the validity and accuracy of the proposed nonlocal refined finite strip method. Furthermore, a number of examples are presented to investigate the effects of various parameters (e.g., boundary conditions, nonlocal parameter, aspect ratio, type of loading) on the results.     

GSA: A Gravitational Search Algorithm

In recent years, various heuristic optimization methods have been developed. Many of these methods are inspired by swarm behaviors in nature. In this paper, a new optimization algorithm based on the law of gravity and mass interactions is introduced. In the proposed algorithm, the searcher agents are a collection of masses which interact with each other based on the Newtonian gravity and the laws of motion. The proposed method has been compared with some well-known heuristic search methods. The obtained results confirm the high performance of the proposed method in solving various nonlinear functions.     

Target coverage in camera networks for manufacturing workplaces

In this paper, we investigate the camera network placement problem for target coverage in manufacturing workplaces. The problem is formulated to find the minimum number of cameras of different types and their best configurations to maximise the coverage of the monitored workplace such that the given set of target points of interest are each k-covered with a predefined minimum spatial resolution. Since the problem is NP-complete, and even NP-hard to approximate, a novel method based on Simulated Annealing is presented to solve the optimisation problem. A new neighbourhood generation function is proposed to handle the discrete nature of the problem. The visual coverage is modelled using realistic and coherent assumptions of camera intrinsic and extrinsic parameters making it suitable for many real world camera based applications. Task-specific quality of coverage measure is proposed to assist selecting the best among the set of camera network placements with equal coverage. A 3D CAD of the monitored space is used to examine physical occlusions of target points. The results show the accuracy, efficiency and scalability of the presented solution method; which can be applied effectively in the design of practical camera networks.