The Influence of Experience and Information Search Styles on Project Risk Identification Performance

The management of risks in projects is a growing area of concern. Both the identification and analysis phases of the risk management process are considered the most important, for they can have a big effect on the precision of the risk assessment exercise. Currently, it is assumed that project managers rely largely on experience to identify project risks. These decisions, influenced by individual perception and attitudes, are made primarily under conditions of uncertainty. Understanding how individuals respond to uncertain situations, therefore, requires an understanding of how individuals intuitively assess the situation they perceive, before expressing a response. The Project Risk Identification (Pro-RIde) project interviewed 51 project managers using active information search (AIS) as a data collection method and cognitive mapping as a data-capturing tool. Our results suggest that the role of experience in the risk identification process is much less significant than it is commonly assumed to be. By contrast, information search style, level of education and risk management training do play a significant role in risk identification performance. These findings suggest the potential for a more thorough approach to risk identification     

A smart mechanically actuated two-layer electromagnetically coupledmicrostrip antenna with variable frequency, bandwidth, and antenna gain

Experimental results are presented on a tunable mechanically actuated microstrip antenna with a parasitic director. A novel piezoelectric actuation system is used to vary dynamically the mechanical displacement of the parasitic element. The center frequency, bandwidth, and antenna gain change as a function of variable spacing between the driven and parasitic elements. In light of the experimental results, smart antenna tuning methods that use mechanical and electrical methods are compared and directions for future work are discussed     

Effect of increased N use and dry periods on N<Subscript>2</Subscript>O emission from a fertilized grassland

To better understand the effects of increased N input and dry periods on soil nitrous oxide (N₂O) emission, we examined a unique data-set of weather, soil microclimate, N input, and N₂O emissions (using the eddy covariance method), measured at a fertilized grassland over the period 2003–2008. We found that the N₂O emission (11.5 kg N ha⁻¹ year⁻¹), the ratio of N₂O emission to N input (3.4), and the duration of elevated N₂O flux (57 days) in 2003 were about two times greater than those of the following years. 2003 had the highest annual N input (343 kg N ha⁻¹ year⁻¹) which exceeded the agronomical requirements for Irish grasslands (up to 306 kg ha⁻¹ year⁻¹). In the summer of 2003, the site had a significantly higher soil temperature, lower WFPS and lowest rainfall of all years. Large N₂O emission events followed rainfall after a long dry period in the summer of 2003, attributed to dominant nitrification processes. Furthermore, in the non summer periods, when temperature was lower and WFPS was higher and when there were prior N applications, lower N₂O emissions occurred and were attributed to dominant denitrification processes. Throughout the study period, the N input and soil dryness related factors (duration of WFPS under 50%, summer average WFPS, and low rainfall) showed exponential relationships with N₂O emission and the ratio of N₂O emission to N input. Based on these findings, we infer that the observed anomalously high N₂O emission in 2003 may have been caused by the combined effects of excess N input above the plant uptake rate, elevated soil temperature, and N₂O flux bursts that followed the rewetting of dry soil after an unusually long dry summer period. These results suggest that high N input above plant uptake rate and extended dry periods may cause abnormal increases in N₂O emissions.     

A comparison of SWAT, HSPF and SHETRAN/GOPC for modelling phosphorus export from three catchments in Ireland

Recent extensive water quality surveys in Ireland revealed that diffuse phosphorus (P) pollution originating from agricultural land and transported by runoff and subsurface flows is the primary cause of the deterioration of surface water quality. P transport from land to water can be described by mathematical models that vary in modelling approach, complexity and scale (plot, field and catchment). Here, three mathematical models (soil water and analysis tools (SWAT), hydrological simulation program-FORTRAN (HSPF) and système hydrologique Européen TRANsport (SHETRAN)/grid oriented phosphorus component (GOPC)) of diffuse P pollution have been tested in three Irish catchments to explore their suitability in Irish conditions for future use in implementing the European Water Framework Directive. After calibrating the models, their daily flows and total phosphorus (TP) exports are compared and assessed. The HSPF model was the best at simulating the mean daily discharge while SWAT gave the best calibration results for daily TP loads. Annual TP exports for the three models and for two empirical models were compared with measured data. No single model is consistently better in estimating the annual TP export for all three catchments.     

Conservation characteristics of wilted perennial ryegrass silage made using biological or chemical additives

The effects of 7 additive treatments on the fermentation and aerobic stability characteristics of wilted grass silage were studied under laboratory conditions. Treatments included no additive applied (untreated control), ammonium tetraformate at 3 and 6 L/t, homofermentative lactic acid bacteria alone (^hoLAB), a mixture of Lactobacillus buchneri plus homofermentative lactic acid bacteria (^he+hoLAB), and an antimicrobial mixture of sodium benzoate, sodium propionate, sodium nitrite, and hexamethylenetetramine at 2.5 and 5 L/t. Additives were compared across 3 consecutive harvests of 2 perennial ryegrass cultivars (AberDart and Fennema) following a 24-h wilt. Silos were opened after at least 100 d of ensilage and aerobic stability was assessed. Season of harvest had a large effect on grass composition at ensiling, producing herbages of relatively low (approximately 145 g/kg), medium (approximately 250 g/kg), and high (approximately 365 g/kg) dry matter (DM) concentrations. Within harvests there were lesser differences between cultivars. The untreated control and ^hoLAB additive produced badly fermented silage from the low-DM herbages and well-fermented silage from the medium- and high-DM herbages. The ammonium tetraformate treatments produced both well-fermented and badly fermented silage from the low-DM herbages depending on cultivar, and consistently well-fermented silage from the medium- and high-DM herbages. The ^he+hoLAB silages had similar or slightly lower standard of fermentation than the untreated and ^hoLAB silages. The antimicrobial mixture produced more silages of lower standard of fermentation than the untreated control and ammonium tetraformate and ^hoLAB additives. All additive treatments, including the untreated control, failed to consistently increase residual water-soluble carbohydrate concentrations at silo opening. Ammonium tetraformate at 6 L/t was the most successful and ^he+hoLAB the least successful additive at increasing residual WSC concentrations. The ^hoLAB silages were generally the least aerobically stable. Silages treated with ammonium tetraformate at 6 L/t were relatively stable under aerobic conditions. The ^he+hoLAB additive and antimicrobial mixture had an inconsistent effect on aerobic stability. Overall, ammonium tetraformate at 6 L/t was the most effective additive evaluated in this study, producing generally well-fermented silage with the highest concentrations of residual WSC and an intermediate to long duration of aerobic stability.     

10 Gbit/s transmission over 50 km nonzero dispersion-shifted fibreusing 1.3 μm directly modulated uncooled transmitters

A 1.3 μm uncooled transmitter with wide-open eye diagrams at laser temperatures of 20, 50, and 85°C is presented. Using this transmitter, it is demonstrated that 10 Gbit/s transmission is possible over a 50 km nonzero dispersion-shifted Lucent TrueWave-RS fibre. This result is compared with transmission over a 55 km standard singlemode fibre