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变压器油纸绝缘可靠性的威布尔混合评估模型 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1
油纸绝缘是电力变压器内绝缘的主要组成部分,其可靠性水平直接决定着变压器的正常运行。为此,提出了一种基于威布尔分布模型的变压器油纸绝缘可靠性评估方法,用于评估变压器油纸绝缘的可靠性,保证油浸式电力变压器的可靠运行。该方法在对相关特征参量进行深入分析的基础上,确定了聚合度、糠醛体积分数、酸值等7个特征参量作为反映变压器油纸绝缘可靠性的特征参量,并建立了油纸绝缘可靠性评估的威布尔混合模型;根据各特征参量的试验数据,利用极大似然参数估计法计算模型参数,得出相应可靠度的威布尔分布模型;应用熵权法计算各特征参量对应子体评估模型的动态权重,较好地反映了各子体评估模型在混合评估模型中的重要程度以及试验数据的全面性与准确性对混合评估模型的影响;最后通过不同寿命阶段的变压器油纸绝缘的可靠性评估实例验证了该方法的可行性。 相似文献
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According to the mechanism of corona discharge at the end of the generator stator bar,a model of stator bar end corona discharge is presented.In a closed corona cage at low atmospheric pressure,the corona discharge characteristics of the stator bar end model were observed using an ultraviolet imaging instrument and an oscilloscope.The influence of atmospheric pressure on the corona inception voltage and discharge intensity was analyzed.The results show that the corona inception voltage is lower under lower atmospheric pressure;the discharge intensity is stronger under lower atmospheric pressure.The particles swarm-optimized support vector machine was employed to analyze the impacts of air pressure and humidity on the corona inception voltage.Error between the calculated value of the established model and the experimental value is less than 5%.The established model can be used to calculate the corona inception voltage of the stator bar end model. 相似文献
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