性别差异对研发投资决策影响的实验研究

基于Z-Tree实验平台利用研发投资自然博弈实验研究发现风险规避导致女性的研发投入强度低于男性,但女性在研发投资过程中愿意投入的研发努力程度高于男性。随着时间推移,男性的研发努力程度明显下降,但女性的研发努力程度反而上升。男性和女性在决策中均表现出心理账户效应,女性更加愿意通过努力来提高业绩。男性在投资中更多体现期权思想,而女性更多表现出长期倾向下的持续努力。文章在揭示性别因素影响研发投资机理基础上,为董事会性别多样性、分级董事会以及递延薪酬等治理机制发挥作用机理提供了新解释。研究结论可以为企业职位的性别配置、分级董事会以及激励契约设计提供借鉴。关键词:性别差异;研发投资;实验研究;心理账户;风险规避;长期倾向     

云计算开源生态知识共享及风险治理的演化博弈研究

云计算开源生态正在逐步形成,促进知识共享、规避开源风险成为开源运营及开源治理的重要目标。本文基于演化博弈理论,构建了行业自律和政府监管两种治理机制下多方利益相关者(云计算企业、产业联盟以及政府)之间的演化博弈模型,分析了关键参数对各方策略及系统收益的影响。研究发现,在行业自律机制下,违约金和基金会补贴会促进知识共享合作,而产业联盟对于风险的存在则更为敏感。在政府监管机制下,罚款和政府补贴可以帮助参与者平衡风险并促进知识共享合作。研究结果可为云计算开源生态的可持续发展提供决策参考。     

Bayesian sequential reliability for Weibull and related distributions

Assume that the probability density function for the lifetime of a newly designed product has the form: [H(t)/Q()] exp{–H(t)/Q()}. The Exponential(), Rayleigh, WeibullW(, ) and Pareto pdf's are special cases.Q() will be assumed to have an inverse Gamma prior. Assume thatm independent products are to be tested with replacement. A Bayesian Sequential Reliability Demonstration Testing plan is used to eigher accept the product and start formal production, or reject the product for reengineering. The test criterion is the intersection of two goals, a minimal goal to begin production and a mature product goal. The exact values of various risks and the distribution of total number of failures are evaluated. Based on a result about a Poisson process, the expected stopping time for the exponential failure time is also found. Included in these risks and expected stopping times are frequentist versions, thereof, so that the results also provide frequentist answers for a class of interesting stopping rules.This research was supported by NSF grants DMS-8703620 and DMS-8923071, and forms part of the Ph.D. Thesis of the first author, the development of which was supported in part by a David Ross grant at Purdue University. The authors thank the editors and a referee for insightful comments and suggestions.     

Rate conservation laws: A survey

We survey the rate conservation law, RCL for short, arising in queues and related stochastic models. RCL was recognized as one of the fundamental principles to get relationships between time and embedded averages such as the extended Little's formulaH=G, but we show that it has other applications. For example, RCL is one of the important techniques for deriving equilibrium equations for stochastic processes. It is shown that the various techniques, including Mecke's formula for a stationary random measure, can be formulated as RCL. For this purpose, we start with a new definition of the rate with respect to a random measure, and generalize RCL by using it. We further introduce the notion of quasi-expectation, which is a certain extension of the ordinary expectation, and derive RCL applicable to the sample average results. It means that the sample average formulas such asH=G can be obtained as the stationary RCL in the quasi-expectation framework. We also survey several extensions of RCL and discuss examples. Throughout the paper, we would like to emphasize how results can be easily obtained by using a simple principle, RCL.     

Generalized evaluation subgroups of product spaces relative to a factor

For any -complexes and , we show that . We use this fact to compute generalized evaluation subgroups of generalized tori relative to a sphere.

     

Estimation of Multinomial Probabilities under a Model Constraint

In this paper estimation of the probabilities of a multinomial distribution has been studied. The five estimators considered are: unrestricted estimator (UE), restricted estimator (RE) (under model ), preliminary test estimator (PTE) based on a test of the model , shrinkage estimator (SE) and the positive-rule shrinkage estimator (PRSE). Asymptotic distributions of these estimators are given under Pitman alternatives and the asymptotic risk under a quadratic loss has been evaluated. The relative performance of the five estimators is then studied with respect to their asymptotic distributional risks (ADR). It is seen that neither of the preliminary test and shrinkage estimators dominates the other, though each fares well relative to the other estimators. However, the positive rule estimator is recommended for use for dimension 3 or more while the PTE is recommended for dimension less than 3.     

一种包覆型聚合物高效液相色谱固定相的制备与评价

当代应用最广的HPLC固定相中,硅胶基质填料化学稳定性较低,并且由于残存硅羟基而表现所谓第二效应,特别使碱性化合物的峰形拖尾;聚合物基质填料虽提高了化学稳定性,没有离子基团,但刚性降低,并且由于溶胀难于进行梯度淋洗;面包覆型聚合物填料则可综合二者的优点,本文对我们制备的这种固定相作初步报道。     

气相色谱法测定酱油中山梨酸的测量不确定度评定

按照GB/T5009.29-2003中山梨酸含量测定方法,对测量结果的不确定度来源如标准溶液浓度、校准曲线参数、样品稀释等进行了分析,对各不确定度分量进行了评定和量化。气相色谱法测定酱油中山梨酸相对扩展不确定度为0.56%。     

超细碳氮化钛的分析和评估

采用多种技术对超细碳氮化钛进行组成分析。可分别测定吸附和化合状态的氧。晶格常数与(原子比)具有线性关系,表明碳与氮可以相互无限置换,分子式为Ti C_xN_(1-x),每一样品只有一种C/N比.固溶体是均质的。气相合成的碳氮化钛含微量杂质,包括游离碳和氯根等,主相量显著地受吸附氧量影响,可控制达97％以上。介绍了拟定的分析方法。     

杭州不同功能区道路灰尘中污染物的分布和有效性

比较研究了杭州城市的工业区、商业区、居民区、公园和附近农村道路灰尘中重金属(Pb、Cu、Cd、Zn、Hg)、P和有机物的积累情况,测定了灰尘分散到水中后污染物在溶液、悬浮物和沉积物中的分配情况。结果表明,不同功能区城市灰尘中污染物含量有较大的变异:重金属一般以工业区和商业区为最高;P以居民区和商业区为最高,而有机物以公园和居民区最高;灰尘中污染物含量随粒径减小而增加。当灰尘分散至水中后,重金属等污染物大部分以沉积相形式存在,少量以溶解相和悬浮相存在;溶解态重金属的比例均较低,平均在0.5%以下,其中ρ(Hg)、ρ(Cd)>ρ(Zn)、ρ(Cu)>ρ(Pb)。而生物有效态(双酸提取)重金属占其总量的比例平均在12%~29%之间,由高到低顺序为Zn,Cd,Cu,Hg,Pb。