Spatio-temporal flood trends & settlement choice in flood-prone areas. A case study of Lubiji micro-catchment,Kampala City

ABSTRACT

This study was conducted to establish the spatio-temporal distribution of flash floods and to learn why people prefer to settle in flood-prone areas of Lubiji micro-catchment in Kampala City. Rainfall data were analysed to ascertain Peak Runoff expected for the given flood event based on Soil Conservation Service Curve Numbers. The micro-catchment was delineated in the Arc GIS 10.0 programme, from the Digital Elevation Model. Feature classes were created to obtain the reach extents and river banks. HEC-RAS model was then used to create flood inundation maps in Arc GIS 10.0 between 1983 and 2014. High magnitude flash floods occurred almost after every three years and the spatial extent varied from 4.4 to 6.8 km². The choice of settlement location in flood-prone areas was influenced by socio-economic ties. The flood hazard maps produced will aid land-use planning, resettlement of the people and setting up a flood forecasting system.     

Geology of the New Orleans Area and the Canal Levee Failures

The geologic history of the New Orleans area significantly influences the engineering properties of the foundation soils beneath the levees. Geologic and engineering data gathered from the levee breaches identify a spatially complex geomorphic landscape, caused by Holocene sea level rise, lateral changes in depositional environments, development of Mississippi River delta lobes, and the distributary channels associated with delta development. Overlying the Pleistocene surface beneath New Orleans are predominantly fine-grained, shallow water sediments associated with bay sound (or estuarine), nearshore-gulf, sandy beach, lacustrine, interdistributary, and paludal (marsh and swamp) environments. These environments define the New Orleans area history during the Holocene and comprise the levee foundation beneath the failure areas. A barrier beach ridge is present in the subsurface along the southern shore of Lake Ponchartrain, which blocked the filling of the lake with fluvial-deltaic sediments. This buried beach impacted the supply and texture of sediment being deposited by advancing distributary channels and influenced the engineering properties of these soils. Marsh and swamp soils beneath the failure area at the 17th Street Canal are much thicker in comparison to those beneath the London Avenue Canal failures because of the influence of the beach complex, and are thickest in the Industrial Canal area. Additionally, human activities in the New Orleans area during historic time contributed to the spatial complexity and affected the engineering properties of the foundation soils. These activities include construction of drainage and navigation canals, groundwater pumping, hydraulic filling of the Lake Ponchartrain lake front, and construction of levees to prevent river flooding. Human activities, combined with the geologic setting and subsidence in this region, are responsible for the unique landscape that was impacted by Hurricane Katrina.     

New Orleans and Hurricane Katrina. III: The 17th Street Drainage Canal

The failure of the levee and floodwall section on the east bank of the 17th Street drainage canal was one of the most catastrophic breaches that occurred during Hurricane Katrina. It produced a breach that rapidly scoured a flow pathway below sea level, so that after the storm surge had largely subsided, floodwaters still continued to stream in through this breach for the next two and a half days. This particular failure contributed massively to the overall flooding of the Metropolitan Orleans East Bank protected basin. Slightly more than half of the loss of life, and a similar fraction of the overall damages, occurred in this heavily populated basin. There are a number of important geotechnical and geoforensic lessons associated with this failure. Accordingly, this paper is dedicated solely to investigating this single failure. Geological and geotechnical details, such as a thin layer of sensitive clay that was laid down by a previous hurricane, proper strength characterization of soils at and beyond the toe of the levee, and recognition of a water-filled gap on the inboard side of the sheet pile cutoff wall are judged to be among the most critical factors in understanding this failure. The lessons learned from this study are of importance for similar flood protection systems throughout other regions of the United States and the world.