A global model for residential energy use: Uncertainty in calibration to regional data

Uncertainties in energy demand modelling allow for the development of different models, but also leave room for different calibrations of a single model. We apply an automated model calibration procedure to analyse calibration uncertainty of residential sector energy use modelling in the TIMER 2.0 global energy model. This model simulates energy use on the basis of changes in useful energy intensity, technology development (AEEI) and price responses (PIEEI). We find that different implementations of these factors yield behavioural model results. Model calibration uncertainty is identified as influential source for variation in future projections: amounting 30% to 100% around the best estimate. Energy modellers should systematically account for this and communicate calibration uncertainty ranges.     

Durability test and degradation behavior of a 2.5 kW SOFC stack with internal reforming of LNG

Forschungszentrum Jülich has demonstrated SOFC stacks and systems ranging from 50 W to 20 kW. Previous studies have shown the reproducible stable long-term performance of the F10-design short stacks developed in Forschungszentrum Jülich. Within this work, a 2.5 kW F20-stack consisting of eighteen cells was assembled, and tested at a furnace temperature of 700 °C mainly with the simulated reformate gas, which corresponds to 10% pre-reforming of liquefied natural gas (LNG). The current density and fuel utilization were mostly kept at 0.5 A cm⁻² and 70%, respectively. The purpose was to investigate the behavior of the stack in the kW-range for at least 5000 h with internal reforming of LNG or methane at a fuel utilization of at least 60%. A voltage degradation rate of around 0.3%/1000 h was obtained during the operation with pre-reformed LNG. The stack performance under normal working conditions and an unplanned redox cycle, as well as the results from post mortem analysis are discussed.     

Measurement and Simulation of the Flow Field around a Triangular Lattice Meteorological Mast

The international standard IEC 61400-12-1 Wind turbines--Part 12-1： Power performance measurements of electricity producing wind turbines＂ aims to provide a uniform methodology that will ensure consistency, accuracy and reproducibility in the measurement and analysis of power performance by wind turbines. Annex G of this standard provides a methodology for the appropriate arrangement of instruments on the meteorological mast to ensure accurate measurement. For cup anemometers it provides recommendations about their location relative to the mast so that the effect of mast and boom interference on their output may be minimised. These recommendations are given for both tubular masts and lattice masts. This paper compares the flow distortion predicted by the IEC standard and the results of a 3D CFD （computational fluid dynamics） simulation of a triangular lattice mast. Based on the results of wind tunnel and CFD simulation it was found that the flow distortion surrounding the lattice mast was overpredicted by the method suggested in appendix G oflEC61400-12-1. Using the CFD data it was possible to determine, for a range of flow directions and mast heights, the distance from the mast that anemometers would need to be in order to be outside the flow distortion field.     

Theory of inversion with two-dimensional regularization: profiles of microphysical particle properties derived from multiwavelength lidar measurements

We present the theory of inversion with two-dimensional regularization. We use this novel method to retrieve profiles of microphysical properties of atmospheric particles from profiles of optical properties acquired with multiwavelength Raman lidar. This technique is the first attempt to the best of our knowledge, toward an operational inversion algorithm, which is strongly needed in view of multiwavelength Raman lidar networks. The new algorithm has several advantages over the inversion with so-called classical one-dimensional regularization. Extensive data postprocessing procedures, which are needed to obtain a sensible physical solution space with the classical approach, are reduced. Data analysis, which strongly depends on the experience of the operator, is put on a more objective basis. Thus, we strongly increase unsupervised data analysis. First results from simulation studies show that the new methodology in many cases outperforms our old methodology regarding accuracy of retrieved particle effective radius, and number, surface-area, and volume concentration. The real and the imaginary parts of the complex refractive index can be estimated with at least as equal accuracy as with our old method of inversion with one-dimensional regularization. However, our results on retrieval accuracy still have to be verified in a much larger simulation study.     

Identification of aroma-active compounds in ‘wonderful’ pomegranate fruit using solvent-assisted flavour evaporation and headspace solid-phase micro-extraction methods

During the last few years, there has been a tremendous increase in consumption of pomegranate fruit and juice. Nevertheless, very little is yet known regarding the volatile constituents that determine the unique aroma of pomegranate fruit. We extracted aroma volatiles from fresh ‘Wonderful’ pomegranate juice using solvent-assisted flavour evaporation (SAFE) and headspace solid-phase micro-extraction (HS-SPME) methods, and applied gas chromatography–olfactometry (GC–O) (‘sniffing’) combined with gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC–MS) analysis, in order to identify volatile aroma-active compounds. In addition, we performed stir bar sorptive extraction (SBSE) of pomegranate aroma volatiles, coupled with GC–MS analysis, in order to assist in identifying aroma-active compounds. Overall, we tentatively identified 23 volatiles in the SAFE and HS-SPME extracts; they belonged to various chemical classes, including aldehydes, terpenes, alcohols, esters, furans and acids. Using the GC–O nasal impact frequency method, we tentatively detected 12 aroma-active peaks and identified the corresponding odourants by GC–MS. The aroma-active compounds of ‘Wonderful’ pomegranates were ethyl-2-methylbutanoate (fruity, apple), hexanal (green), β-pinene (pine, herbal), β-myrecene (woody, musty), cis-3-hexenal (green), limonene (fruity, musty), cis-2-heptenal (soapy, mushroom), cis-3-hexenol (earthy, grassy), 2-ethylhexanol (floral), β-caryophyllene (fruity, musty), 2(5H)-furanone (sweet, fruity) and β-sesquiphellandrene (terpene, almond). Overall, the flavour of ‘Wonderful’ pomegranate fruit derives from a mixture of various ‘green’, ‘woody’, ‘earthy’, ‘fruity’, ‘floral’, ‘sweet’ and ‘musty’ notes.     

Diversity and frequencies of methoxypyrazines in hemolymph of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Harmonia axyridis</Emphasis> and <Emphasis Type="Italic">Coccinella septempunctata</Emphasis> and their influence on the taste of wine

The study focuses on the odor-active intensity and occurrence of three methoxypyrazines in ladybird beetles, Harmonia axyridis, invasive in Europe and the USA, and Coccinella septempunctata, native in Europe, but invasive in the USA. It is known from previous studies that H. axyridis has negatively influenced the taste of wine in the USA because of releasing their hemolymph in must during harvesting. In relation to C. septempunctata, H. axyridis had more nitrogen containing compounds in its hemolymph and 2-isopropyl-3-methoxypyrazine (IPMP) and mainly 2-sec-buthyl-3-methoxypyrazine (SBMP) in higher amounts. The compound IPMP was detected as the main odor-active compound in both ladybird beetle species. Wines infested with hemolymph of C. septempunctata were more readily detected as altered wine with a ‘ladybird taint’ than wines infested with H. axyridis. 2-isobuthyl-3-methoxypyrazine (IBMP) could be identified as second intensive odor-active compound of C. septempunctata, which occurred in a much lower frequency in H. axyridis. SBMP, the second highest measured N-compound of H. axyridis, had a lower olfactory active threshold in gas chromatography–olfactometry test. C. septempunctata contained less SBMP in its hemolymph than H. axyridis. This study objected that besides H. axyridis also C. septempunctata can influence the taste of wine in a detectable way.     

Wear Performance of Dental Materials: A Comparison of Substructure Ceramics,Veneering Ceramics,and Non‐Precious Alloys

The aim of this in vitro study was to compare the two‐body wear resistance of different dental ceramics and non‐precious alloys. Two‐body wear tests were performed in a chewing simulator with steatite antagonists. A pin‐on‐block design with a vertical load of 50 N for 1.2 × 10⁵ cycles (f = 1.6 Hz; lateral movement: 1 mm, mouth opening: 2 mm) was used for the wear test. Surface roughness R_a (SP6, Perthen‐Feinprüf, G) and wear depth were determined using a 3D‐Profilometer (Laserscan 3D, Willytec, G). Scanning electron microscopy (Quanta FEG 400, FEI, NL) was applied for evaluating wear performance of both, materials and antagonists. Statistics: one‐way ANOVA (α = 0.05). The in vitro wear test showed that the wear performance of dental materials is strongly influenced by the type of material (ceramic, zirconia, or alloy). Zirconia and alloy provided low wear in contrast to glass‐ceramic systems. In contradiction to common expectations, hard zirconia and alloy systems showed even lower antagonistic wear than glass‐ceramics.     

Sputtered ZnO seed layer enhances photovoltaic behavior in hybrid ZnO/P3HT solar cells

We investigated the characteristics of inverted solar cells comprising bulk-heterojunction active layers of ZnO nanowire arrays and poly(3-hexylthiophene), P3HT. By utilizing a sputtered ZnO seed layer, we are able to grow vertically oriented ZnO nanowire arrays homoepitaxially. Unlike the ZnO nanowires that are grown on sol–gel derived seed layers, our nanowires are more uniform in their dimensions and spatial distribution. This sputtered seed layer also acts as the hole-blocking layer when these nanowire arrays are incorporated in solar cells; hybrid solar cells comprising these nanowires and P3HT exhibit power conversion efficiencies of 1.6%. To date, this is the highest efficiency observed for ZnO nanowire arrays:P3HT hybrid solar cells.