BallotMaps: detecting name bias in alphabetically ordered ballot papers

The relationship between candidates' position on a ballot paper and vote rank is explored in the case of 5000 candidates for the UK 2010 local government elections in the Greater London area. This design study uses hierarchical spatially arranged graphics to represent two locations that affect candidates at very different scales: the geographical areas for which they seek election and the spatial location of their names on the ballot paper. This approach allows the effect of position bias to be assessed; that is, the degree to which the position of a candidate's name on the ballot paper influences the number of votes received by the candidate, and whether this varies geographically. Results show that position bias was significant enough to influence rank order of candidates, and in the case of many marginal electoral wards, to influence who was elected to government. Position bias was observed most strongly for Liberal Democrat candidates but present for all major political parties. Visual analysis of classification of candidate names by ethnicity suggests that this too had an effect on votes received by candidates, in some cases overcoming alphabetic name bias. The results found contradict some earlier research suggesting that alphabetic name bias was not sufficiently significant to affect electoral outcome and add new evidence for the geographic and ethnicity influences on voting behaviour. The visual approach proposed here can be applied to a wider range of electoral data and the patterns identified and hypotheses derived from them could have significant implications for the design of ballot papers and the conduct of fair elections.     

Development of quantitative structure-activity relationships for explanatory modeling of fast reacting (meth)acrylate monomers bearing novel functionality

The photoinitiated polymerization of (meth)acrylate monomers bearing novel carbamate functionality exhibits significantly greater reaction rate when compared to more traditional acrylate monomers undergoing similar polymerization. This unusually fast reactivity has been the subject of much investigation. In order to suggest an explanatory mechanism for the enhanced polymerization rates we have conducted quantitative structure-activity relationship investigations of these novel monomers. These studies have resulted in statistically sound models with coefficients of multiple determination of R(2)>0.93. Principal component and k nearest neighbor similarity analysis were also conducted on the multiple regression models. These results are discussed in light of published experimental investigations of the photopolymerization reactivity of the novel monomers.     

Airborne vision‐based collision‐detection system

Machine vision represents a particularly attractive solution for sensing and detecting potential collision‐course targets due to the relatively low cost, size, weight, and power requirements of vision sensors (as opposed to radar and Traffic Alert and Collision Avoidance System). This paper describes the development and evaluation of a real‐time, vision‐based collision‐detection system suitable for fixed‐wing aerial robotics. Using two fixed‐wing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to recreate various collision‐course scenarios, we were able to capture highly realistic vision (from an onboard camera perspective) of the moments leading up to a collision. This type of image data is extremely scarce and was invaluable in evaluating the detection performance of two candidate target detection approaches. Based on the collected data, our detection approaches were able to detect targets at distances ranging from 400 to about 900 m. These distances (with some assumptions about closing speeds and aircraft trajectories) translate to an advance warning of between 8 and 10 s ahead of impact, which approaches the 12.5‐s response time recommended for human pilots. We overcame the challenge of achieving real‐time computational speeds by exploiting the parallel processing architectures of graphics processing units (GPUs) found on commercial‐off‐the‐shelf graphics devices. Our chosen GPU device suitable for integration onto UAV platforms can be expected to handle real‐time processing of 1,024 × 768 pixel image frames at a rate of approximately 30 Hz. Flight trials using manned Cessna aircraft in which all processing is performed onboard will be conducted in the near future, followed by further experiments with fully autonomous UAV platforms. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Endogenous Neighborhood Selection and the Attainment of Cooperation in a Spatial Prisoner’s Dilemma Game

There is a large literature in economics and elsewhere on the emergence and evolution of cooperation in the repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma. Recently this literature has expanded to include games in a setting where agents play only with local neighbors in a specified geography. In this paper we explore how the ability of agents to move and choose new locations and new neighbors influences the emergence of cooperation. First, we explore the dynamics of cooperation by investigating agent strategies that yield Markov transition probabilities. We show how different agent strategies yield different Markov chains which generate different asymptotic behaviors in regard to the attainment of cooperation. Second, we investigate how agent movement affects the attainment of cooperation in various networks using agent-based simulations. We show how network structure and density can affect cooperation with and without agent movement.     

Estimation of Detection Thresholds for Redirected Walking Techniques

In immersive virtual environments (IVEs), users can control their virtual viewpoint by moving their tracked head and walking through the real world. Usually, movements in the real world are mapped one-to-one to virtual camera motions. With redirection techniques, the virtual camera is manipulated by applying gains to user motion so that the virtual world moves differently than the real world. Thus, users can walk through large-scale IVEs while physically remaining in a reasonably small workspace. In psychophysical experiments with a two-alternative forced-choice task, we have quantified how much humans can unknowingly be redirected on physical paths that are different from the visually perceived paths. We tested 12 subjects in three different experiments: (E1) discrimination between virtual and physical rotations, (E2) discrimination between virtual and physical straightforward movements, and (E3) discrimination of path curvature. In experiment E1, subjects performed rotations with different gains, and then had to choose whether the visually perceived rotation was smaller or greater than the physical rotation. In experiment E2, subjects chose whether the physical walk was shorter or longer than the visually perceived scaled travel distance. In experiment E3, subjects estimate the path curvature when walking a curved path in the real world while the visual display shows a straight path in the virtual world. Our results show that users can be turned physically about 49 percent more or 20 percent less than the perceived virtual rotation, distances can be downscaled by 14 percent and upscaled by 26 percent, and users can be redirected on a circular arc with a radius greater than 22 m while they believe that they are walking straight.     

Marine Geospatial Ecology Tools: An integrated framework for ecological geoprocessing with ArcGIS,Python, R,MATLAB, and C++

With the arrival of GPS, satellite remote sensing, and personal computers, the last two decades have witnessed rapid advances in the field of spatially-explicit marine ecological modeling. But with this innovation has come complexity. To keep up, ecologists must master multiple specialized software packages, such as ArcGIS for display and manipulation of geospatial data, R for statistical analysis, and MATLAB for matrix processing. This requires a costly investment of time and energy learning computer programming, a high hurdle for many ecologists. To provide easier access to advanced analytic methods, we developed Marine Geospatial Ecology Tools (MGET), an extensible collection of powerful, easy-to-use, open-source geoprocessing tools that ecologists can invoke from ArcGIS without resorting to computer programming. Internally, MGET integrates Python, R, MATLAB, and C++, bringing the power of these specialized platforms to tool developers without requiring developers to orchestrate the interoperability between them.In this paper, we describe MGET’s software architecture and the tools in the collection. Next, we present an example application: a habitat model for Atlantic spotted dolphin (Stenella frontalis) that predicts dolphin presence using a statistical model fitted with oceanographic predictor variables. We conclude by discussing the lessons we learned engineering a highly integrated tool framework.     

Real world representation of a road network for route planning in GIS

This paper addresses a methodology to properly represent a road network in the geographic information system (GIS) for network analysis. Over the years, the real world has become too complex to model properly within a given information system, such as GIS. Ideally, when the real world is represented as accurately as possible, a GIS can answer a question in its virtual world that coincides with the exact answer in the real world. However, existing methods related to impedance modeling for each segment of a road network in a route planning analysis that includes only a distance or time variable do not give proper results. Hence, this study investigates how a road network can represent the real world in a GIS and offer route planning tools. To address this, first, additional realistic variables are taken into account. These include weather, sight-seeing information, road type, and so on. Second, to combine these variables, an impedance model (IM) using the analytical hierarchical process (AHP) method is proposed. Finally, all of the models are implemented and verified with a sensitivity analysis. The models were successfully implemented in this work. All of the paths of the route planning analysis were successfully matched with the drivers’ paths that would normally be chosen in reality. It is anticipated that the use of other techniques such as analytical network process (ANP) in addition to AHP would be useful to overcome the aforementioned problem.