长江上游区域蒸发皿蒸发量变化及其对水分循环的影响

利用长江上游最近30年(66个测站)蒸发皿蒸发量和最近50年(90个测站)的7种气象要素,分析了蒸发皿蒸发量的区域变化趋势和影响蒸发皿蒸发量变化的因素;针对7个水文站的年径流量变化,探讨了蒸发皿蒸发量变化后对水分循环的影响.结果表明,长江上游蒸发皿蒸发量的变化可以划分为三个分区,研究区域东西两侧(青藏高原和大巴山一带)为显著减少区,分别命名为RⅠ和RⅡ,中间(云贵高原北部到黄土高原南缘以及由二者包围的四川盆地一带)为显著增大区,命名为RⅢ区.影响区域蒸发皿蒸发量变化的原因各有不同,青藏高原一带(RⅠ区)蒸发皿蒸发量减少的原因可归结于太阳辐射强度和风动力扰动减弱所致.大巴山一带(RⅡ区)减少原因是太阳辐射强度、风动力扰动强度、湿度条件都在显著下降所引起的.云贵高原到四川盆地一带(RⅢ区)蒸发皿蒸发量增加是环境气温强烈升高,导致其上空大气水汽含量显著减少,大气很干燥,引发蒸发过程加强所致.蒸发皿蒸发量发生变化的直接后果就是导致水分循环强弱发生变化,对于RⅠ区,尽管蒸发皿蒸发量减少,由于降水量和径流量增加的作用,这一区域的水分循环有所加强.在RⅡ区,降水量、径流量和蒸发量都在减少,因此RⅡ区水分循环显著减弱.在RⅢ区,降水量和径流量同时减少,而蒸发量增大,水量消耗增大,因此RⅢ区水分循环有减弱趋势.     

20 cm蒸发皿蒸发量的数学物理模型研究

本文以能量守恒原理和边界层梯度输送理论为基础,应用Monin-Obukhov相似函数计算蒸发皿水面感、潜热通量,参数化蒸发皿侧壁热传输能量,建立了一个单层的20 cm蒸发皿蒸发模型.之后利用"古浪非均匀近地层观测试验"中连续14天观测的每小时20 cm蒸发皿数据对所建模型进行检验.研究分析结果表明:模型能够很好地反映蒸发皿水面与地表之间所形成的非均匀性,合理地概括蒸发皿与周围环境之间的相互作用和蒸发皿蒸发的物理过程.另外,模型成功模拟了蒸发皿蒸发的日变化过程,模拟的日蒸发量均方根误差(RMSE)和平均相对误差(MRER)分别为0.44 mm·d^-1和3.7%,日蒸发量观测值与模拟值的相关系数为0.998.     

鄱阳湖夏季水面蒸发与蒸发皿蒸发的比较

水面蒸发是湖泊水量平衡要素的重要组成部分.基于传统蒸发皿观测蒸发不能代表实际水面蒸发,而实际水面蒸发特征仍不清楚.本研究基于涡度相关系统观测的鄱阳湖水体实际水面蒸发过程,在小时和日尺度分析了水面蒸发的变化规律及其主要影响因子,并与蒸发皿蒸发进行比较.研究表明,实际水面蒸发日变化波动剧烈,变化范围在0~0.4 mm/h之间.水面蒸发的日变化特征主要受风速的影响.鄱阳湖8月份日水面蒸发量与蒸发皿蒸发量在总体趋势上具有很好的一致性.8月份平均日水面蒸发速率(5.90 mm/d)比蒸发皿蒸发速率(5.65 mm/d)高4.6%.水面日蒸发量与蒸发皿蒸发量的比值在8月上、中、下旬平均值分别为1.24、1.00、0.92,呈现下降的趋势.鄱阳湖夏季水面日蒸发量与风速和相对湿度相关性显著,而蒸发皿蒸发与净辐射、气温、饱和水汽压差和相对湿度均呈显著相关.这是由于蒸发皿水体容积小,与湖泊相比其水体热存储能力小,因此更容易受到环境因子的影响.     

贵州蒸发皿蒸发量变化趋势及影响因素分析

以贵州境内18个气象站1961-2001年逐日气象观测数据为基础,采用Mann-Kendal非参数检验方法、相关分析和主成分分析方法对贵州近41年来蒸发皿蒸发量及其主要影响因子(太阳净辐射、气温、相对湿度和风速等)进行了相关性及趋势性分析.结果表明:近41年来,贵州年平均蒸发皿蒸发量呈显著下降趋势,通过99%的置信度检验,蒸发量的下降主要表现在冬、春、夏三季.从区域分布来看,蒸发皿蒸发量整体上东部及西北部分地区显著减少,其他地区趋势变化不明显.蒸发皿蒸发量下降的主要原因是太阳净辐射的显著下降.     

青海湖流域及周边地区蒸发皿蒸发量变化(1961-2007年)及趋势分析

采用单调趋势的非参数统计检验Mann-Kendall(M-K)法和灰色关联分析方法对青海湖流域及周边地区1961-2007年20cm小型蒸发皿蒸发量及其影响气候因子的变化趋势进行了分析.结果表明,近47a来青海湖流域及周边地区的蒸发皿蒸发量平均每年减少4.47mm,各季节的蒸发皿蒸发量除秋季变化不显著外,其它各季以0.55-1.83mm/a的速率减小,其中春季减幅最大,其次是夏季,冬季减幅最小;日照时数的减少导致了气温日较差变小和空气饱和差的减小,是造成该研究区域蒸发皿蒸发量减小的主要原因.     

滇池、抚仙湖、阳宗海长期水位变化(1988-2015年)及驱动因子

水位变化影响湖泊水质、水量和生态系统功能,是研究湖泊演变的重要内容,但目前针对滇中高原湖群水位变化特征还少见系统报道.本文选择滇池、抚仙湖、阳宗海3个滇中高原湖泊作为研究对象,基于1988-2015年实测水位数据和Mann-Kendall趋势检验法评估了3个湖泊水位变化特征;运用RClimDex模型获得了流域极端降水指标,结合其他指标构建了基于极端气象因子的湖泊水位驱动力指标体系;采用主成分-多元回归模型,解析了极端降水、蒸发等气象因子对滇中高原湖泊水位变化的贡献.结果表明：①滇池、抚仙湖、阳宗海水位年际波动不突出.滇池的年平均水位总体略呈上升趋势,年均上升0.025 m.阳宗海和抚仙湖水位无明显变化.②滇中高原湖泊流域的极端降水指数年际变化趋势不明显.滇池的蒸发量呈明显减小趋势,年均减小21.05 mm.抚仙湖蒸发量呈明显增加趋势,平均每年增加5.52 mm.阳宗海蒸发量的变化不明显.③气象指标可解释滇池水位变化的49.7%,滇池水位变化受气候变化和人类活动的综合影响;阳宗海和抚仙湖水位变化主要受气象条件控制,蒸发量、综合降水指标和连续降水指标对阳宗海水位变化的解释率高达93.3%;综合降水指标和干旱状况指标可以解释抚仙湖水位变化的64.5%.极端降水指标对解释高原湖泊水位变化具有重要作用.     

中国区域蒸发潜力不均性发展趋势及其气候成因分析

气象台站20 cm蒸发皿观测资料自然正交分解显示,1980～2000年中国区域气温显著增加期间,长江中游至河套、东北等区域地表年蒸发潜力呈增加趋势;相反在长江以南、东部和西南等地区年蒸发潜力呈下降趋势.辐射观测资料分析结果表明,自20世纪70年代中国区域太阳入射能整体呈下降趋势,因此对于蒸发潜力增加的地区,太阳辐射产生...     

地球物理场观测中的大气效应问题研究

作用在地表的大气质量不仅产生引力位的扰动，而且会引起各种地球物理场的附加效应，本文综述了近年来国内外同行在研究地表位移、重力、倾斜和应变固体潮观测中实施的大气效应改正问题，包括利用台站气压资料建立的实测模型，建立大气重力格林函数，利用全球和区域气象数据计算大气效应，建立大气改正的误差模型等，最后文章讨论了今后研究展望。     

大气温度反馈的机理及其对全球增暖的贡献

大气和地表之间热辐射交换引起的地气温度耦合(即大气温度反馈)是影响地表能量收支平衡的重要因子.文章旨在阐述大气温度反馈机理,讨论影响其强度和空间分布的主要因子;并以全球变暖为例,论述大气温度反馈如何与外强迫和气候反馈过程耦合最终对全球增暖产生贡献.基于ERA-Interim再分析资料,利用地表反馈响应分析方法,计算大气温度反馈核,以此来阐述大气温度反馈的物理机制及其强度的空间分布与气候态温度、水汽和云水含量空间分布的关系,以及全球增暖加速期间大气温度反馈对全球平均表面温度增加的贡献.分析表明大气温度反馈过程主要通过与气候系统外强迫和内部过程的耦合作用,将各独立过程引起的地表能量收支异常信号放大.研究结果表明大气温度反馈显著放大了CO_2浓度升高、冰雪融化、水汽含量增加和海洋热量吸收减缓引起的地表增暖,削弱了云量增加引起的地表降温效应.同时,也放大了地表潜热通量增加造成的地表冷却效应.从全球平均结果来看,全球快速变暖前后,尽管外强迫和气候系统内部过程引起的全球平均总地面直接能量通量扰动为负,但大气温度反馈造成的全球平均总地面能量通量扰动却为正,且后者幅度远大于前者,这导致全球平均总地面净能量通量扰动正异常.由此可见,大气温度反馈对全球变暖起到了至关重要的作用.     

三论青藏高原近地表大气氧含量影响因素及其贡献率

全球变暖背景下,预计21世纪大气中的氧气浓度将继续下降.青藏高原地处高海拔地区,缺氧形势严峻,对影响其大气氧含量因素及其量化研究仍相对匮乏.本文对北京房山站的气象要素、青藏高原生态系统产氧、碳汇和近地表大气氧含量进行了联合观测.利用季节差异和统计方法,计算了植被对近地表大气氧含量变化的相对贡献率.研究结果表明,太阳辐射、大气湿度、生态系统耗氧和产氧对近地表大气氧含量有显著影响,且其影响呈现出时空差异.基于季相差异计算结果,植被对近地表大气氧含量影响显著,贡献率达到16.7%～24.5%,已有研究低估了植被的贡献率.研究结果为认识影响近地表大气氧含量的因素提供了重要依据,突出了植被的贡献率.为更好地了解青藏高原的氧气动态,未来需在青藏高原进行更多土壤呼吸和植被光合作用的实地观测,以厘清碳储、碳汇等对近地表大气氧含量的贡献.     

The role of cloud height and warming in the decadal weakening of atmospheric heat source over the Tibetan Plateau

The warming over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) is very significant during last 30 years,but the thermal forcing has been weakened.The thermal weakening is attributed mainly to the enhancement of the TOA(top of atmosphere) outgoing radiation.This enhancement is opposite to the greenhouse-gas-induced weakening of the global mean TOA outgoing radiation and is also unable to be explained by the observed decrease of total cloud cover.This study presents the importance of cloud height change and the warming over the TP in modulating the TOA radiation budget and thus the thermal forcing during spring and summer.On the basis of surface observations and satellite radiation data,we found that both the TOA outgoing shortwave radiation and longwave radiation were enhanced during this period.The former enhancement is due mainly to the increase of low-level cloud cover,which has a strong reflection to shortwave radiation,especially in summer.The latter enhancement is caused mainly by the planetary warming,and it is further enhanced by the decrease of total cloud cover in spring,as clouds extinguish outgoing longwave radiation emitted from the land surface.Therefore,the radiative cooling enhancement and thus the thermal weakening over the TP is a response of the earth-atmosphere system to the unique change of cloud cover configuration and the rapid warming of the land surface.However,these trends in cloud cover and TOA outgoing radiation are not well represented in four reanalyses.     

Temporal changes of warm-season pan evaporation in a semi-arid basin in Western Turkey

Warm-season (from May to September) pan evaporation series recorded at nine sites in semi-arid Büyük Menderes Basin in Western Turkey were analyzed for evidence of long-term changes using non-parametric Mann–Kendall test. Only two sites showed significant linear trends, one in decreasing direction and the other in increasing direction. Area-averaged normalized anomalies of pan evaporation stayed unchanged over the period 1975–2006. Based on correlation and multiple regression analysis with visual inspection of the time series plots, sunshine duration which is used as a proxy for global radiation was found to be the major factor explaining the change and variability of pan evaporation in warm-season in semi-arid Büyük Menderes Basin. Stepwise multiple regression analysis showed no significant effect of rainfall on pan evaporation, which means that the effect of complementary relationship is rather weak and even non-existent.     

Evaporation estimation on Lake Titicaca: a synthesis review and modelling

The aim of this study was to validate evaporation models that can be used for palaeo‐reconstructions of large lake water levels. Lake Titicaca, located in a high‐altitude semi‐arid tropical area in the northern Andean Altiplano, was the object of this case study. As annual evaporation is about 90% of lake output, the lake water balance depends heavily on the yearly and monthly evaporation flux. At the interannual scale, evaporation estimation presents great variability, ranging from 1350 to 1900 mm year^?1. It has been found that evaporation is closely related to lake rainfall by a decreasing relationship integrating the implicit effect of nebulosity and humidity. At the seasonal scale, two monthly evaporation data sets were used: pan observations and estimations derived from the lake energy budget. Comparison between these data sets shows that (i) there is one maximum per year for pan evaporation and two maxima per year for lake evaporation, and (ii) pan evaporation is greater than lake evaporation by about 100 mm year^?1. These differences, mainly due to a water depth scale factor, have been simulated with a simple thermal model θ_w(h, t) of a free‐surface water column. This shows that pan evaporation (h = 0·20 m) is strongly correlated with direct solar radiation, whereas the additional maximum of lake evaporation (h = 40 m) is related to the heat restitution towards the atmosphere from the water body at the end of summer. Finally, five monthly evaporation models were tested in order to obtain the optimal efficiency/complexity ratio. When the forcing variables are limited to those that are most readily available in the past, i.e. air temperature and solar radiation, the best results are obtained with the radiative Abtew model (r = 0·70) and with the Makkink radiative/air temperature model (r = 0·67). Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Surface heat balance and pan evaporation trends in Eastern Asia in the period 1971–2000

Climatic variations over Eastern Asia, including the Tibetan Plateau, were analysed using meteorological data for 32 points in the period 1971 to 2000. Changes in heat and water balances were examined using potential evaporation E_P, and a wetness index WI, as suggested by Kondo and Xu ( 1997a,b ). Climate zones, including the humid, semi‐humid, semi‐arid and arid climate types, in Eastern Asia identified by the wetness index matched the vegetation distribution. Average monthly temperatures increased over the 30 years, with the sharpest increase in February. In general, temperature increases were larger in the north than in the south. Air temperature increased by more than 0·05 K yr⁻¹ in northern China. The data showed that diurnal temperature ranges have decreased in recent years. From the Tibetan Plateau, through central China, to southern northeast China, there has been an increase in potential evaporation and pan evaporation, which may be related to both higher temperatures and a lack of surface water. Increasing long‐wave radiation flux is apparent in every month and in the interannual trends. This is in contrast to the solar radiation flux. On the other hand, trends for relative humidity and cloud cover were negative, but positive for water vapour pressure. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

L'evaporation d'un bac d'eau libre — Sa signification restreinte

There is no simple relation nor even a strong correlation between daily evaporations measured by means of a water pan and potential evapotranspirations of neighbouring natural surfaces.Generally, the evaporation of the pan is reduced in a certain proportion due to the fact that the incident global solar radiation penetrates partially into the water and because consequently a portion of the radiant energy flux is not caught by the surface. Nevertheless, during rainy periods and also under certain meteorological conditions, the evaporation of the pan is increased paradoxally as a result of a fast transfer of heat from underlying water layers towards the surface, by turbulent diffusion.     

1958—2017年太湖蒸发量年际变化趋势及主控因子

湖泊蒸发对气候变化非常敏感, 是水文循环响应气候变化的指示因子, 因此研究湖泊蒸发的控制因素, 对于理解区域水文循环有重要意义. 本文利用太湖中尺度涡度通量网避风港站观测数据校正JRA-55再分析资料, 驱动CLM4.0-LISSS模型, 并利用2012—2017年涡度相关通量数据和湖表面温度数据检验模型模拟蒸发结果, 验证了该模型在太湖的适用性; 估算了1958—2017年间太湖的湖面蒸发量, 并利用Manner-Kendall趋势检验分析了湖面蒸发的变化趋势, 寻找太湖实际蒸发的年际变化的主控因子. 结果如下: 校正后的JRA-55再分析资料模拟的太湖蒸发与观测值之间存在季节偏差, 但是季节偏差在年尺度上相互抵消, 再分析资料可用于年际尺度太湖蒸发变化的模拟; 1958—2017年间太湖蒸发量以1977年为界, 先下降(-3.6 mm/a), 后增加(2.3 mm/a); 多元逐步回归结果表明, 向下的短波辐射是太湖1958—2017年间太湖蒸发变化的主控因子, 向下的长波辐射、气温、比湿也对湖泊蒸发年际变化有一定影响, 但是风速对蒸发量的年际变化影响不大.     

On the attribution of changing pan evaporation in a nature reserve in SW China

Negative trends of measured pan evaporation are widely reported. Studies of the factors that underlie this reduction in pan evaporation have not reached a consensus about the controlling factors. Most studies employ statistical analysis (correlation analysis or stepwise regression) to identify the controlling climatic variables; in contrast, few studies have employed physical‐based theories. In addition, observations of pan evaporation and related climatic variables are reported to be influenced by anthropogenic activities. Consequently, the observed trends of climatic variables in a nature reserve would be useful for understanding regional climate change. The present study site is located in Ailaoshan National Nature Reserve, SW China, which is free of anthropogenic activity. In this study, we firstly applied the adjusted PenPan model to estimate the pan evaporation. Then, using this physical‐based model, we identified a positive trend in pan evaporation, with a much larger increase in the dry season than in the wet season. The model results indicate that the change in the aerodynamic component is larger than that in the radiative component. In contrast to the reduction in wind speed and sunshine hours that has been reported in previous studies at various sites, we found that wind speed and sunshine hours have increased in recent decades, thereby explaining the increase of the pan evaporation rate. Wind speed made the greatest contribution to the change in pan evaporation, followed by sunshine duration. This study indicates that the potential evaporation has increased at this site despite the widely reported reduction in measured pan evaporation. During the dry season, the availability of water for agriculture and agroforestry could be threatened. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.