Forensic age prediction and age classification for critical age thresholds via 3.0T magnetic resonance imaging of the knee in the Chinese Han population

Objectives

To assess the performance of knee MRI for forensic age prediction and classification for 12-, 14-, 16-, and 18-year thresholds.

Methods

The ossification stages of distal femoral epiphyses and proximal tibial epiphyses were assessed using an integrated staging system by Schmeling et al. and Kellinghaus et al. for knee 3.0T MRI with T1-weighted turbo spin-echo (T1-TSE) in sagittal orientation among 852 Chinese Han individuals (483 males and 369 females) aged 7–30 years. Regression models for age prediction were constructed and their performances were evaluated based on mean absolute deviation (MAD) values. In addition, the performances of age classification were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses.

Results

The intra- and inter-observer agreement levels were very good (κ > 0.80). The complete fusion of those two types of epiphyses took place before 18.0 years in our study participants. The minimum MAD values were 2.51 years (distal femur) and 2.69 years (proximal tibia) in males, and 2.75 years (distal femur) and 2.87 years (proximal tibia) in females. The specificity values of constructed prediction models were all above 90% for the 12-, 14-, and 16-year thresholds, compared to the 74.8–84.6% for the 18-year threshold. Better performances of age prediction and classification were observed in males by distal femoral epiphyses.

Conclusions

Ossification stages via 3.0T MRI of the knee with T1-TSE sequence using an integrated staging system could be a reliable noninvasive method for age prediction or for age classification for 12-, 14-, and 16-year thresholds, especially in males by distal femoral epiphyses. However, assessments based on the full bony fusion of the distal femoral epiphysis and proximal tibial epiphysis seemed not reliable for age classification for the 18-year threshold in the Chinese Han population.

     

Dental age estimation in Somali children using the Willems et al. model

Aim

The aim of the current study was to retrospectively collect dental panoramic radiographs from Somali children living in Finland, to use the radiographic data to develop a new age estimation model based on the model established by Willems et al. (J Forensic Sci 46(4):893–895, 2001), and to compare the age prediction performances of the Willems et al. model (WM) and the newly developed model.

Material and methods

Dental panoramic radiographs from 808 healthy Somalis born in Finland were selected. The development of the seven left mandibular permanent teeth, from the central incisor to the second molar, was staged according to Demirjian et al. (Hum Biol 45(2):211–227, 1973). Radiographs with all listed permanent teeth completely developed were excluded. The studied sample consisted of 635 subjects (311 females, 324 males) ranging in age from 4 to 18 years. Kappa and weighted Kappa statistics were used to quantify intra- and inter-observer agreement in stage allocation. The collected dataset was used to validate the WM, constructed on a Belgian Caucasian reference sample, and to establish a Somali-specific age estimation model (SM) based on the WM. Both models were validated and their age prediction performances quantified using mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE).

Results

The SM resulted in a slight underestimation of age when the sex groups were analysed separately or combined, with ME varying between 0.04 (standard deviation (SD) 1.01) and 0.05 (SD 1.04) years, MAE between 0.77 and 0.80 years and RMSE between 1.01 and 1.04 years. The WM statistically significantly underestimated the age of females, with an ME of 0.20 (SD 1.01) years (p = 0.0006). For males, and for females and males combined, no statistically significant ME was observed.

Conclusion

The WM and SM were similar in their age prediction performances, and the use of the WM in dental age assessment in the Somali population is justified.

     

New models for age estimation and assessment of their accuracy using developing mandibular third molar teeth in a Thai population

Age estimation using developing third molar teeth is considered an important and accurate technique for both clinical and forensic practices. The aims of this study were to establish population-specific reference data, to develop age prediction models using mandibular third molar development, to test the accuracy of the resulting models, and to find the probability of persons being at the age thresholds of legal relevance in a Thai population. A total of 1867 digital panoramic radiographs of Thai individuals aged between 8 and 23 years was selected to assess dental age. The mandibular third molar development was divided into nine stages. The stages were evaluated and each stage was transformed into a development score. Quadratic regression was employed to develop age prediction models. Our results show that males reached mandibular third molar root formation stages earlier than females. The models revealed a high correlation coefficient for both left and right mandibular third molar teeth in both sexes (R = 0.945 and 0.944 in males, R = 0.922 and 0.923 in females, respectively). Furthermore, the accuracy of the resulting models was tested in randomly selected 374 cases and showed low error values between the predicted dental age and the chronological age for both left and right mandibular third molar teeth in both sexes (−0.13 and −0.17 years in males, 0.01 and 0.03 years in females, respectively). In Thai samples, when the mandibular third molar teeth reached stage H, the probability of the person being over 18 years was 100 % in both sexes.

     

The distal femoral epiphysis in forensic age diagnostics: studies on the evaluation of the ossification process by means of T1- and PD/T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging

The age of majority, which corresponds to the age of 18 years in most European countries, plays a crucial role for a large number of legal decisions. Accordingly, an increasing number of requests by authorities to forensic age estimation experts comprise the question of whether the age of 18 years has been reached by an individual. In recent years, novel study data suggested that magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the knee might likewise allow for the determination of majority beyond reasonable doubt. However, the data basis, especially concerning the distal femoral epiphysis (DFE), is still poor. For this reason, 392 routine MRI cases of the knee (204 males and 188 females of a Western Caucasian population, aged between 12 and 25 years) were retrospectively analyzed. T1-weighted and water-selective fat-saturated PD/T2-weighted sequences, generated at 1.5 and 3.0 T clinical MR scanners, were available. Ossification stages of the DFE were determined by means of the classification system by Vieth et al. (Eur Radiol 2018; 28:3255–3262). Both the intra-observer agreement and inter-observer agreement were found to be “very good” (κ = 0.899 and κ = 0.830). The present study confirmed that MRI of the DFE is suitable to determine majority in both sexes when stage 6 is present as the study revealed minimum ages above the age of 18 years for this stage (20.40 years in males and 20.60 years in females). Accordingly, the data represent a strong support for the so far existing database. Hence, the investigation of the knee using routine MRI appears to become a realistic alternative for forensic age estimation practice in the near future.

     

Evaluation of chronological age based on third molar development in the Spanish population

A cross-sectional study was carried out to assess chronological age estimation based on the stages of third lower molar development, following the eight stages (A–H) method of Demirjian et al. The final sample consisted of 1,054 orthopantomograms from Spanish individuals of known chronological age (range 14–21 years) and gender (462 males and 592 females). Results showed a stronger correlation for males (r²=0.54) than for females (r²=0.45). Root formation occurred earlier in males than females, in stages 5, 6 and 7. The mean difference between chronological and estimated age was –0.10 years (±1.23 SD) for left third molar, and –0.07 years (±1.22 SD) for right third molar, with slight variations regarding sex. Comparative tables are provided regarding medicolegal questions concerning age 18 prediction in the Spanish population, showing that legal age is reached in stage 7 (G) by women and in stage 8 (H) by men. No differences have been observed between sides (p<0.0001). Differences were observed between Spaniards and other previously studied populations. Third molar maturity takes place earlier in the Spanish than French-Canadian, Scandinavian, American, German, Japanese and South African populations and is more similar to US Hispanics in root development.     

Age estimation of Chinese children based on second molar maturity

In forensic medicine and many other fields, age estimation by the use of teeth is of great importance for the purpose of individual identification. In the past, however, age estimation based on the second molar mineralization was scarcely performed. In this study, a total of 1657 panoramic radiographs taken from 834 males and 823 females of northern Chinese origin in the age bracket 5 to 25 years were assessed. The mineralization status of the second molars was determined using the classification described by Demirjian et al. Results showed that the left and right, as well as maxillary and mandibular second molars were generally at similar stages of mineralization. The maxillary left second molars (27) at stage D, mandibular left second molars (37) at stages C, D, F, and G, and mandibular right second molars (47) at stages D, F, and G showed a significantly lower average age in female subjects than in male subjects. In males, fully developed second molars first appeared with 12 years of age; in females, stage H occurred with 11 years at the earliest. One male individual and one female individual with second molars showing stage G were 23 years old. It was concluded that second molars showing stage H do not exclude an age under 14 years and that second molars showing stage G do not exclude an age above 18 years.

     

Applicability of 3.0 T MRI images in the estimation of full age based on shoulder joint ossification: Single-centre study

Skeletal maturity is evaluated by many radiological methods for forensic age estimation. Direct radiography and computed tomography lead to a rise in ethical concerns due to radiation exposure. Therefore, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has currently been used in recent studies. In this study, the ossification stage of the shoulder joint was determined retrospectively in 178 male and 109 female individuals in the age group 12 to 30 years using 3.0 T MRI. All the images were evaluated with T1-weighted turbo spin echo (T1 TSE) sequence and T1 fast low angle shot two-dimensional sequence (T1 FL2D). The combined staging method, which was defined by Kellinghaus et al. and Schmeling et al., was used. The intra- and inter-observer agreement levels were very good (κ and κ_w). There were no significant age differences between males and females in all stages. In most of the stages, the ossification of the proximal humeral epiphyses occurred earlier in females than in males. Stage 4 did not occur in either of the sexes before the 18th birthday as the youngest patients in this stage was at 19 and 18 years of age in males and females, respectively. We concluded that evaluating the ossification of the proximal humeral epiphysis with MRI imaging for forensic age estimation may be beneficial. Evaluating the same anatomical structure with different MRI sequences may be useful for accurate staging diagnosis.     

Computed tomographic analysis of medial clavicular epiphyseal fusion for age estimation in Indian population

Forensic age estimation is a crucial aspect of the identification process. While epiphyseal fusion of long bones has been studied for age estimation since a long time, over the past few years, the role of medial clavicular epiphyseal fusion in age estimation is being explored. The medial clavicular epiphyseal fusion can be used to estimate age in young adults, and can also determine whether medicolegally significant ages of 16 and 18 years have been attained by an individual. The present study aimed at generating regression models to estimate age by evaluating the medial clavicular epiphyseal fusion in Indian population using Schmeling et al. and Kellinghaus et al. method, and to assess whether an individual’s age is over medicolegally significant thresholds of 16 and 18 years. Degree of ossification of the medial clavicular epiphysis was studied in CT images of 350 individuals aged 10.01–35.47 years. Significant statistical correlation (P < 0.001) was observed between the degree of fusion and the chronological age of the participants, with Spearman’s correlation (ρ) = 0.918 in females, and ρ = 0.905 in males. Regression models were generated using degree of ossification of medial end of clavicle of 350 individuals (147 females and 203 males) and these models were applied on a test set of 50 individuals (25 females and 25 males). Mean absolute error of 1.50 for females, 1.14 for males, and 1.32 for the total test set was observed when the variance between the chronological ages and estimated ages was calculated.     

Deceleration in maturation of bone during adolescent age in achondroplasia—a retrospective study using RUS scoring system

Objectives  Knowledge of bone age in achondroplasia is required for the prediction of adult height, timings of limb lengthening, and epiphysiodesis procedures. The purpose of this investigation was to determine the differences in skeletal age in achondroplasia and a control population with the Tanner–Whitehouse 3 method using the RUS score and to determine the right age for the interventional procedure for limb lengthening procedure or deformity correction in these patients. Materials and methods  Left hand radiographs of 34 patients (age range, 5–18 years) with achondroplasia were evaluated for skeletal age using the RUS scoring system, which were compared with the left hand radiographs of 41 patients (age range, 5–18 years) without achondroplasia measuring skeletal age. The difference in chronological age and RUS bone age were evaluated statistically according to gender and age group. Results  In the achondroplasia group, chronological age were 10.5 ± 4.3 years for males and 10.1 ± 3.6 years for females and RUS bone age were 9.2 ± 4.0 years for males and 8.9 ± 3.4 years for females, which showed statistically significantly difference (males p = 0.0003 and females p < 0.0001), while in the control group, chronological age were 11.1 ± 2.9 years for males and 10.7 ± 3.4 years for females and RUS bone age were 11.2 ± 3.4 years for males and 10.7 ± 3.3 years for females, which did not show statistically significantly difference (males p = 0.54 and females p = 0.76). Our finding suggested a delay of 1.4 years for males and 1.2 years for females in the maturation of bone in achondroplasia patients. Difference between chronological age and RUS bone age was 0.9 ± 1.1 for <10 years and 1.6 ± 0.9 for >10 years in the study group, while 0.1 ± 1.1 for <10 years and −0.2 ± 0.6 for >10 years in the control group, which also showed >statistically significant difference (<10 years p = 0.04 and >10 years p < 0.0001). These differences indicate that there was a delay in the maturation of bones by 1 year in the group <10 years and 1.8 years in the group >10 years in achondroplasia patients compared to nonachondroplasia patients. Conclusion  We recommend the use of the Tanner–Whitehouse 3 method especially the radius, ulna, short bone score to measure the skeletal age and to wait for a longer time before interventional procedures in achondroplasia patients. Each author certifies that he has no commercial associations (e.g., consultancies, stock ownership, equity interests, patent/licensing arrangements, etc.) that might pose a conflict of interest in connection with the submitted article.     

Dental development in patients with agenesis

Aim

Recent research concerning tooth development and dental agenesis suggests that specific genes are associated with agenesis, and that these genetic factors could also cause delayed dental development of the remaining teeth. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether dental development of patients with agenesis is delayed, compared to a control group.

Subjects and method

Panoramic radiographs of 1145 patients with dental agenesis were collected (452 males, 693 females) aged 6.2 to 24.8 years. The control group included 2032 panoramic radiographs (977 males, 1055 females) aged 6.0 to 24.4 years. A total of 3177 orthopantomograms were staged according to Demirjian. All left permanent teeth present in the mandible (except third molars) were considered. In order to evaluate the difference between patients with and without agenesis, a developmental score (DS) was calculated. The association between the DS and the number of agenetic teeth was evaluated with a Spearman correlation.

Results

Based on the DS, patients with agenesis have a delayed development compared to patients in the control group (p < 0.0001). Within the agenesis group, there is a weak relation between the number of agenetic teeth and the DS: the higher the number of teeth with agenesis, the lower the DS (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.06 for females and males, respectively).

Conclusion

The obtained results can be an important factor for treatment planning in patients with dental agenesis. Moreover, the presence of agenesis needs to be taken into account when using age estimation methods based on permanent tooth development.

     

New approach to age estimation of male and female adult skeletons based on the morphological characteristics of the acetabulum

Age estimation is essential to the human identification process, both in forensic and archeological contexts. Based on the previous male-specific method of Rissech et al. (J Forensic Sci, 2006, 51:213–229), a new approach to age estimation based on the acetabulum has been described and evaluated in 611 individuals from the Lisbon Collection (Lisbon, Portugal). This paper has two main goals: (1) to revise and better define the variables of Rissech’s method related to the acetabular fossa, namely, variables 5, 6, and 7, and (2) to extend the applicability of this new approach to both sexes while analyzing age-related sex differences in the acetabular aging process. The results demonstrate the suitability of combining acetabulum traits and a Bayesian approach to estimating age in adults of both sexes. This study has confirmed the usefulness of the redefined variables of the acetabular fossa when age-related changes are considered. Furthermore, the newly defined variables have good to excellent values of repeatability. The study has also extended the method’s applicability to females. The revised method has absolute error averages of 7.28 years for males and 7.09 years for females, based on a sex-specific reference sample. In addition, approximately 74 % of the individuals estimated had an absolute error less than 10 years. Interestingly, the acetabular aging process follows similar trends in both sexes, but the aging rate seems to be different between males and females, especially in middle-aged individuals. Despite the fact that the age estimates, on average, did not improve significantly with the use of a sex-specific reference sample, it is recommended that the sexes be analyzed separately due to the differences in aging rates and inaccuracy values.

     

Performance of a New Blunt-Tip Coaxial Needle for Percutaneous Biopsy and Drainage of “Hard-To-Reach” Targets

Aim

To present a new blunt-tip coaxial needle (SoftGuard) applied to access “hard-to-reach” targets undergoing percutaneous image-guided biopsy or drainage.

Materials and Methods

All consecutive patients presenting between August and December 2016 with “hard-to-reach” (<10 mm from a critical nearby structure such as vessels, nerves, bowel or adjacent parenchymal organs) solid lesions requiring biopsy (group A) or abscesses requiring drainage for sepsis (group B) were prospectively included. The individual features of each patient and lesion as well as technical and clinical data were collected and analysed.

Results

Twenty-six patients (18 males, 8 females, mean age 59.81 ± 17.53 years) were enrolled in group A and nine (6 males, 3 females, mean age 58.33 ± 13.8 years) in group B. Technical success was achieved in 92.3% of cases from group A and 100% of cases from group B. Five (19.2%) minor complications were noted in group A (four small self-limiting pneumothoraces and one small self-limiting peri-pancreatic haematoma). There were no complications in group B. Histological results in group A accounted for 95% sensitivity, 100% specificity and 95.2% diagnostic accuracy. In group B, mean post-operative C-reactive protein was 41 ± 48.3 mg/L in comparison with 155 ± 117.5 mg/L at baseline (P = 0.004).

Conclusions

The SoftGuard blunt-tip needle is a safe and effective tool when applied as a coaxial working cannula for percutaneous biopsy or drainage of “hard-to-reach” targets.

     

DXAGE 2.0 — adult age at death estimation using bone loss in the proximal femur and the second metacarpal

The accurate age at death assessment of unidentified adult skeletal individuals is a critical research task in forensic anthropology, being a key feature for the determination of biological profiles of individual skeletal remains. We have previously shown that the age-related decrease of bone mineral density (BMD) in the proximal femur could be used to assess age at death in women (Navega et al., J Forensic Sci 63:497–503, 2018). The present study aims to generate models for age estimation in both sexes through bone densitometry of the femur and radiogrammetry of the second metacarpal. The training sample comprised 224 adults (120 females, 104 males) from the “Coimbra Identified Skeletal Collection,” and different models were generated through least squares regression and general regression neural networks (GRNN). The models were operationalized in a user-friendly online interface at https://osteomics.com/DXAGE2/. The mean absolute difference between the known and estimated age at death ranges from 9.39 to 13.18 years among women and from 10.33 to 15.76 among men with the least squares regression models. For the GRNN models, the mean absolute difference between documented and projected age ranges from 8.44 to 12.58 years in women and from 10.56 to 16.18 years in men. DXAGE 2.0 enables age estimation in incomplete and/or fragmentary skeletal remains, using alternative skeletal regions, with reliable results.

     

Good functional outcomes in patient’s age > 40 years after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction with hamstring tendon graft: a retrospective study

Background

Many surgeons are still hesitant to do arthroscopic anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACL) in patients above 40 years old.

Purpose

The effect of ACL reconstruction on functional outcomes in patients above 40 years of age.

Materials and methods

Patients of age?>?40 years who underwent ACL reconstruction were enrolled in the study. Functional outcomes (Lysholm, WOMAC score, and Tegner activity scale), pain (VAS score), and knee stability (KT-1000) were assessed at final follow-up and compared with pre-operative scores. All patients were followed up for a minimum of 2 years.

Results

A total of 112 patients were included in the study. Eighty-eight were males and 24 were females. The mean age at the time of surgery was 44.8?±?5.6 years (40–63 years). The mean Lysholm score was improved from 64.1?±?11.7 to 87.2?±?5.9 (p?=?0.0001). Similarly, the WOMAC score was also improved from 8.8?±?6.9 to 2.3?±?1.9 (p?=?0.0001). The mean side-to-side difference (KT-1000) also improved from 6.65?±?2.25 mm to 2.32?±?1.45 mm (p?=?0.0001). More than 70% of the patients had excellent or good outcomes. Median pre-injury Tegner activity scale was 5 (3–8) and the median post-ACLR Tegner activity scale was 5 (3–7; p?=?1).

Conclusion

ACL reconstruction in patients?>?40 years of age results in good functional outcomes and knee stability.

     

Premolar maturity index (IPM) for indicating legal age 12 years in a sample of south Indian children – A digital pantomographic study

Legal age of 12 years has been set as the minimum age of criminal responsibility in many countries. This paper concerned a method for predicting the legal age 12 years based on the maturation of lower first and second premolars. The sample consisted of 900 digital pantomographs of south Indian children (450 males, 450 females) aged between 8 and 16 years. Among them, 580 DPTs were used as test sample and 320 DPTs as validation sample. New cut-offs at the age threshold 12 years were determined by using the measurement of open apices in first premolars (IPM1 < 0.10), second premolars (IPM2 < 0.14) and the combined method (IPM1 + IPM2 < 0.12). The sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp) and posttest probability (PTP) were established. For IPM1 < 0.10, the Se, Sp and PTP were 92.4 %, 91.3 % and 91.1 % for males and 90.8 %, 87 % and 86.5 % for females. For IPM2 < 0.14, they were 92.6 %, 93.6 % and 93.4 % for males and 91.5 %, 83.1 % and 83.4 % for females. And, for the combined predictor (IPM1 + IPM2 < 0.12), these values were 92.6 %, 94.8 % and 94.6 % and 90.5 %, 84.9 % and 84.7 % in males and females respectively. The best score of positive predictive value and specificity was obtained for males with the combined predictor (IPM1 + IPM2 < 0.12) and with single predictor (IPM1 < 0.10) for females. To conclude, the combined predictor has resulted in better discrimination in males, while in females the single predictor (IMP1 < 0.10) did slightly better. Further studies are warranted to test the combination of dental and skeletal indicators for the prediction of 12 years in the studied population.     

Age-related changes in the craniofacial region in a modern Greek population sample of known age and sex

The aim of this paper is to investigate ageing changes in craniofacial region in both sexes and evaluate whether these shape changes are substantial to achieve age discrimination of samples used in anthropological analyses. The study sample consisted of 157 crania of known sex and age (81 males and 76 females) belonging to individuals who lived in Greece during the twentieth century. The sample was divided in three age groups: young adults (YA, 18–39 years old), middle adults (MA, 40–59 years old) and old adults (OA, >60 years old). The three-dimensional coordinates of 31 ecto-cranial landmarks were digitized using a Microscribe 3DX contact digitizer, and landmark configurations were analyzed using the generalized least-squares Procrustes method. The results indicate that both males and females show significant difference among the age groups; however, shape differences can not be used for age group discrimination due to a large range on the accuracy of age group classification. The morphometric changes related to age were different between sexes.

     

Development of age-estimation formula using postmortem oral findings: A pilot study

The goal of this pilot study was to develop an age-estimation formula and assess its effectiveness after evaluating individual intraoral findings. A total of 198 Japanese adults were included, and intraoral findings were collected from the corpses. To analyze the condition of each tooth, 20 items were established for intraoral findings, and seven tooth states were established. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the impact of age on each intraoral finding. Sequentially, linear regression was applied to verify the correlation between age and type of tooth, and multiple regression was used to correlate age-dependent factors. The intraoral findings with age dependency were tooth stump, edentulous jaw, attrition, no caries, dental prostheses, partial dentures, and complete dentures. Tooth stump, attrition, and dental prostheses showed positive multicollinearity. Missing tooth, extant tooth, normal teeth, and untreated lost teeth were age-correlated. Multiple regression analysis included age as the response variable and five factors as the explanatory variables in a new age-estimation formula, resulting in ± 10 years for 86.96% of cases (60–69 years old), 76.47% (70–79 years old), and 61.05% of all cases. The multiple correlation was 0.551, and the contribution rate of the multiple regression formula was 0.304. The accuracy of the proposed age-estimation formula was within ± 10 years for 61.05% of all subjects. However, the accuracy of age estimation in subjects aged 60–79 years was excellent (76.47–86.96%), which showed that this age-estimation formula would be effective for estimating the age of middle-aged to older subjects.     

The relevance of body mass index in forensic age assessment of living individuals: an age-adjusted linear regression analysis using multivariable fractional polynomials

In forensic age assessment of living individuals, developmental stages of skeletal maturation and tooth mineralization are examined and compared with a reference population. It is of interest which factors can affect the development of these features. We investigated the effect of body mass index (BMI) on the developmental stages of the medial epiphysis of the clavicle, the distal epiphysis of the radius, the distal epiphysis of the femur, the proximal epiphysis of the tibia, and the left lower third molar in a total of 581 volunteers, 294 females and 287 males aged 12–24 years, using 3 T MRI. BMI values in the cohort ranged from 13.71 kg/m² in a 12-year-old female to 35.15 kg/m² in an 18-year-old female. The effect of BMI on the development of the characteristics was investigated using linear regression models with multivariable fractional polynomials. In the univariable analysis, BMI was associated with all feature systems (beta between 0.10 and 0.44; p < 0.001). When accounting for the physiological increase of BMI with increasing age, the effect of BMI was lower and in the majority of the models no longer clinically relevant. Betas decreased to values between 0.00 and 0.05. When adding feature variables to a model already including age, r² values increased only minimally. For an overall bone ossification score combining all characteristics, the adjusted ß was 0.11 (p = 0.021) and 0.08 (p = 0.23) for females and males, respectively. Low ß and r² values (0.00 (adjusted)–0.16 (crude)) were present in both models for third molar development already in the unadjusted analyses. In conclusion, our study found no to little effect of BMI on osseous development in young adults. Teeth development in both sexes was completely independent of BMI. Therefore, dental methods should be part of every age assessment.

     

A novel method to estimate adult age from the lumbar vertebral body using 3D PMCT images in Japanese

This study evaluated the age-related changes in the vertebral body using 3D Postmortem CT (PMCT) images and proposed an alternative age estimation formula. The PMCT images of 200 deceased individuals aged 25 to 99 years (126 males, 74 females) were retrospectively reviewed and included in the study. Using the open-source software ITK-SNAP and MeshLab, a 3D surface mesh of the fourth lumbar vertebral body (L4) and its convex hull models were created from the PMCT data. Using their inbuilt tools, volumes (in mm3) of the L4 surface mesh and convex hull models were subsequently computed. We derived VD, defined as the difference in volumes between the convex hull and L4 surface mesh normalized by L4 mesh volume, and VR, defined as the ratio of L4 mesh volume to convex hull volume based on individual L4. Correlation and regression analyses were performed between VD, VR, and chronological age. A statistically significant positive correlation (P < 0.001) between chronological age and VD, (r_s = 0.764, males; r_s = 0.725, females), and a significant negative correlation between chronological age and VR (r_s = -0.764, males; r_s = -0.725, females) was obtained in both sexes. The lowest standard error of the estimate was demonstrated by the VR at 11.9 years and 12.5 years for males and females, respectively. As such, their regression models to estimate adult age were Age = 248.9–2.5VR years, males; Age = 258.1–2.5VR years, females. These regression equations may be useful for estimating age in Japanese adults in forensic settings.