Consensus-reaching methods for hesitant fuzzy multiple criteria group decision making with hesitant fuzzy decision making matrices

Group decision making plays an important role in various fields of management decision and economics. In this paper, we develop two methods for hesitant fuzzy multiple criteria group decision making with group consensus in which all the experts use hesitant fuzzy decision matrices (HFDMs) to express their preferences. The aim of this paper is to present two novel consensus models applied in different group decision making situations, which are composed of consensus checking processes, consensus-reaching processes, and selection processes. All the experts make their own judgments on each alternative over multiple criteria by hesitant fuzzy sets, and then the aggregation of each hesitant fuzzy set under each criterion is calculated by the aggregation operators. Furthermore, we can calculate the distance between any two aggregations of hesitant fuzzy sets, based on which the deviation between any two experts is yielded. After introducing the consensus measure, we develop two kinds of consensus-reaching procedures and then propose two step-by-step algorithms for hesitant fuzzy multiple criteria group decision making. A numerical example concerning the selection of selling ways about ‘Trade-Ins’ for Apple Inc. is provided to illustrate and verify the developed approaches. In this example, the methods which aim to reach a high consensus of all the experts before the selection process can avoid some experts’ preference values being too high or too low. After modifying the previous preference information by using our consensus measures, the result of the selection process is much more reasonable.     

A Consensus Model for Group Decision Making With Incomplete Fuzzy Preference Relations

Two processes are necessary to solve group decision making problems: A consensus process and a selection process. The consensus reaching process is necessary to obtain a final solution with a certain level of agreement between the experts; and the selection process is necessary to obtain such a final solution. In a previous paper, we present a selection process to deal with group decision making problems with incomplete fuzzy preference relations, which uses consistency measures to estimate the incomplete fuzzy preference relations. In this paper we present a consensus model. The main novelty of this consensus model is that of being guided by both consensus and consistency measures. Also, the consensus reaching process is guided automatically, without moderator, through both consensus and consistency criteria. To do that, a feedback mechanism is developed to generate advice on how experts should change or complete their preferences in order to reach a solution with high consensus and consistency degrees. In each consensus round, experts are given information on how to change their preferences, and to estimate missing values if their corresponding preference relation is incomplete. Additionally, a consensus and consistency based induced ordered weighted averaging operator to aggregate the experts' preferences is introduced, which can be used in consensus models as well as in selection processes. The main improvement of this consensus model is that it supports the management of incomplete information and it allows to achieve consistent solutions with a great level of agreement.     

Group decision-making model with incomplete fuzzy preference relations based on additive consistency.

In decision-making problems there may be cases in which experts do not have an in-depth knowledge of the problem to be solved. In such cases, experts may not put their opinion forward about certain aspects of the problem, and as a result they may present incomplete preferences, i.e., some preference values may not be given or may be missing. In this paper, we present a new model for group decision making in which experts' preferences can be expressed as incomplete fuzzy preference relations. As part of this decision model, we propose an iterative procedure to estimate the missing information in an expert's incomplete fuzzy preference relation. This procedure is guided by the additive-consistency (AC) property and only uses the preference values the expert provides. The AC property is also used to measure the level of consistency of the information provided by the experts and also to propose a new induced ordered weighted averaging (IOWA) operator, the AC-IOWA operator, which permits the aggregation of the experts' preferences in such a way that more importance is given to the most consistent ones. Finally, the selection of the solution set of alternatives according to the fuzzy majority of the experts is based on two quantifier-guided choice degrees: the dominance and the nondominance degree.     

基于重要度引导偏好识别修正的多粒度语言共识模型

研究多粒度语言偏好信息下的群体共识决策问题. 首先, 从个体和群体两个角度充分挖掘偏好信息下隐含的专家重要度信息, 基于个体一致度及个体与群体的相似度构建确定专家重要度的优化模型; 其次, 以专家重要度引导非共识偏好的识别和修正过程, 提出一种自适应的语言共识模型; 然后, 给出一种群决策方法, 确保在集结专家意见前群体达成一定程度的共识; 最后, 通过算例验证所提出方法的可行性和有效性.

     

A consensus model for multiperson decision making with different preference structures

In this paper, we present a consensus model for multiperson decision making (MPDM) problems with different preference structures based on two consensus criteria: 1) a consensus measure which indicates the agreement between experts' opinions and 2) a measure of proximity to find out how far the individual opinions are from the group opinion. These measures are calculated by comparing the positions of the alternatives between the individual solutions and collective solution. In such a way, the consensus situation is evaluated in each moment in a more realistic way. With these measures, we design a consensus support system that is able to substitute the actions of the moderator. In this system, the consensus measure is used to guide the consensus process until the final solution is achieved while the proximity measure is used to guide the discussion phases of the consensus process. The consensus support system has a feedback mechanism to guide the discussion phases based on the proximity measure. This feedback mechanism is based on simple and easy rules to help experts change their opinions in order to obtain a degree of consensus as high as possible. The main improvement of this consensus model is that it supports consensus process automatically, without moderator, and, in such a way, the possible subjectivity that the moderator can introduce in the consensus process is avoided.     

Group decision making model and approach based on interval preference orderings

In group decision making under uncertainty, interval preference orderings as a type of simple uncertain preference structure, can be easily and conveniently used to express the experts’ evaluations over the considered alternatives. In this paper, we investigate group decision making problems with interval preference orderings on alternatives. We start by fusing all individual interval preference orderings given by the experts into the collective interval preference orderings through the uncertain additive weighted averaging operator. Then we establish a nonlinear programming model by minimizing the divergences between the individual uncertain preferences and the group’s opinions, from which we derive an exact formula to determine the experts’ relative importance weights. After that, we calculate the distances of the collective interval preference orderings to the positive and negative ideal solutions, respectively, based on which we use a TOPSIS based approach to rank and select the alternatives. All these results are also reduced to solve group decision making problems where the experts’ evaluations over the alternatives are expressed in exact preference orderings. A numerical analysis of our model and approach is finally carried out using two illustrative examples.     

A consensus model for hesitant fuzzy preference relations and its application in water allocation management

This paper investigates a consensus model for hesitant fuzzy preference relations (HFPRs). First, we present a revised definition of HFPRs, in which the values are not ordered for the hesitant fuzzy element. Second, we propose an additive consistency based estimation measure to normalize the HFPRs, based on which, a consensus model is developed. Here, two feedback mechanisms are proposed, namely, interactive mechanism and automatic mechanism, to obtain a solution with desired consistency and consensus levels. In the interactive mechanism, the experts are suggested to give their new preference values in a specific range. If the experts are unwilling to offer their updated preferences, the automatic mechanism could be adopted to carry out the consensus process. Induced ordered weighted averaging (IOWA) operator is used to aggregate the individual HFPRs into a collective one. A score HFPR is proposed for collective HFPR, and then the quantifier-guided dominance degrees of alternatives by using an OWA operator are obtained to rank the alternatives. Finally, both a case of study for water allocation management in Jiangxi Province of China and a comparison with the existing approaches are carried out to show the advantages of the proposed method.     

Multiplicative consistency-based decision support system for incomplete linguistic preference relations

The experts may have difficulty in expressing all their preferences over alternatives or criteria, and produce the incomplete linguistic preference relation. Consistency plays an important role in estimating unknown values from an incomplete linguistic preference relation. Many methods have been developed to obtain a complete linguistic preference relation based on additive consistency, but some unreasonable values may be produced in the estimation process. To overcome this issue, we propose a new characterisation about multiplicative consistency of the linguistic preference relation, present an algorithm to estimate missing values from an incomplete linguistic preference relation, and establish a decision support system for aiding the experts to complete their linguistic preference relations in a more consistent way. Some examples are also given to illustrate the proposed methods.     

Representation of preferences in decision-support systems.

The recommendations of computer-based decision-support systems depend on the preferences of the expert who is responsible for the decisions. Often, these preferences are only represented implicitly, rather than explicitly, in the system. Decision-theoretic preference models that explicitly represent the preferences of the decision maker provide numerous advantages for decision-support systems. In this paper, we describe these advantages. The creation and refinement of decision-theoretic preference models, however, is a difficult task. We describe an accurate and efficient method for determining the preferences of domain experts and refining the model that captures those preferences. In this preference assessment method, we simulate familiar decisions in the expert's area of expertise. We then infer the preferences of the expert from the choices that the expert makes on the simulated decisions, and use the preference information to refine the model automatically.     

Trust based consensus model for social network in an incomplete linguistic information context

A theoretical framework to consensus building within a networked social group is put forward. This article investigates a trust based estimation and aggregation methods as part of a visual consensus model for multiple criteria group decision making with incomplete linguistic information. A novel trust propagation method is proposed to derive trust relationship from an incomplete connected trust network and the trust score induced order weighted averaging operator is presented to aggregate the orthopairs of trust/distrust values obtained from different trust paths. Then, the concept of relative trust score is defined, whose use is twofold: (1) to estimate the unknown preference values and (2) as a reliable source to determine experts’ weights. A visual feedback process is developed to provide experts with graphical representations of their consensus status within the group as well as to identify the alternatives and preference values that should be reconsidered for changing in the subsequent consensus round. The feedback process also includes a recommendation mechanism to provide advice to those experts that are identified as contributing less to consensus on how to change their identified preference values. It is proved that the implementation of the visual feedback mechanism guarantees the convergence of the consensus reaching process.     

A maximizing consensus approach for alternative selection based on uncertain linguistic preference relations

In alternative selection problems managed by multiple experts in uncertain situations achieving consensus is a desirable objective as incorrect selection may adversely affect stakeholder outcomes. This paper develops an approach to solve consensus problems when expert preference information is in the form of uncertain linguistic preference relations. First, definitions for aggregation operators and group consensus level based on a 2-tuple linguistic representation model are provided. Then, in order to obtain the weights of the experts under the assumption of incomplete weights information, an optimization model is developed which seeks maximum consensus from the current expert preferences in the group. If the consensus level reached does not meet predefined requirements, a consensus reaching algorithm is presented which can automatically achieve the goal. To determine the parameters for the proposed algorithm, a simulation procedure is presented. Finally, an investment company optimal selection example is provided to show the properties of the proposed approach. A comparative study and discussion of the proposed approach are also conducted.     

The induced linguistic continuous ordered weighted geometric operator and its application to group decision making

In this paper, based on the induced linguistic ordered weighted geometric (ILOWG) operator and the linguistic continuous ordered weighted geometric (LCOWG) operator, we develop the induced linguistic continuous ordered weighted geometric (ILCOWG) operator, which is very suitable for group decision making (GDM) problems taking the form of uncertain multiplicative linguistic preference relations. We also present the consistency of uncertain multiplicative linguistic preference relation and study some properties of the ILCOWG operator. Then we propose the relative consensus degree ILCOWG (RCD-ILCOWG) operator, which can be used as the order-inducing variable to induce the ordering of the arguments before aggregation. In order to determine the weights of experts in group decision making (GDM), we define a new distance measure based on the LCOWG operator and develop a nonlinear model on the basis of the criterion of minimizing the distance of the uncertain multiplicative linguistic preference relations. Finally, we analyze the applicability of the new approach in a financial GDM problem concerning the selection of investments.     

A consensus model for group decision making under interval type-2 fuzzy environment

We propose a new consensus model for group decision making (GDM) problems, using an interval type-2 fuzzy environment. In our model, experts are asked to express their preferences using linguistic terms characterized by interval type-2 fuzzy sets (IT2 FSs), because these can provide decision makers with greater freedom to express the vagueness in real-life situations. Consensus and proximity measures based on the arithmetic operations of IT2 FSs are used simultaneously to guide the decision-making process. The majority of previous studies have taken into account only the importance of the experts in the aggregation process, which may give unreasonable results. Thus, we propose a new feedback mechanism that generates different advice strategies for experts according to their levels of importance. In general, experts with a lower level of importance require a larger number of suggestions to change their initial preferences. Finally, we investigate a numerical example and execute comparable models and ours, to demonstrate the performance of our proposed model. The results indicate that the proposed model provides greater insight into the GDM process.     

A comparative study on consensus measures in group decision making

Decision situations in which several individual are involved are known as group decision‐making (GDM) problems. In such problems, each member of the group, recognizing the existence of a common problem, tries to come to a collective decision. A high level of consensus among experts is needed before reaching a solution. It is customary to construct consensus measures by using similarity functions to quantify the closeness of experts preferences. The use of a metric that describes the distance between experts preferences allows the definition of similarity functions. Different distance functions have been proposed in order to implement consensus measures. This paper examines how the use of different aggregation operators affects the level of consensus achieved by experts through different distance functions, once the number of experts has been established in the GDM problem. In this situation, the experimental study performed establishes that the speed of the consensus process is significantly affected by the use of diverse aggregation operators and distance functions. Several decision support rules that can be useful in controlling the convergence speed of the consensus process are also derived.     

Recommending diverse friends in signed social networks based on adaptive soft consensus paradigm using variable length genetic algorithm

Despite the strategic role played by individuals, who act as intermediaries between distinct groups of people, the problem of recommending diverse friends in signed social networks (SSNs) still remains largely unexplored. Our model integrates homophily and diversity to develop an adaptive consensus based framework, which involves fuzzy group decision making analysis by leveraging on the signed social links and underlying users’ preferences, to offer lists of connections which are diverse as well as relevant. Our contributions are three-fold. First, we modeled the fuzzy binary adjacency relations between users, thereafter referred as decision makers (DMs), exploiting users’ preferences conferred on a set of items, and then higher order fuzzy m-ary adjacency relations are constructed to represent the grade of agreement between a set of m DMs. Further, in order to evaluate the relevance of each decision maker involved in the decision making process, we introduce a novel diversity measure based on the knowledge of socio-psychological theories and the information contained in social and interest links. Next, by employing variable-length genetic algorithm, an idea of adaptive consensus is explored to evolve groups of experts which are highly consensual as well as influential in the social network. Finally, on the basis of opinions gleaned from the members of these groups, sign of unknown links are predicted, thereby generating a top-N recommendations list of diverse friends. Extensive experimental study conducted on Epinions dataset illustrates that our proposed scheme outperforms the traditional graph-based methods.     

基于信任关系和互补判断矩阵的群决策方法

随着信息和网络技术的不断发展,基于社会网络的群决策问题受到越来越多研究者的关注.针对社会网络环境下模糊互补判断矩阵的群决策问题,研究群体共识调整过程和方案选择方法.首先,融合决策者之间的社会关系、身份地位、知识能力3个方面信息来构建决策者两两之间的信任关系;其次,提出一种尽可能减少元素间共识补偿的共识度度量方法,在此基础上建立基于信任关系的共识调整模型,并从理论上证明该模型的有效性;最后通过信任关系矩阵的特征向量中心度分别求出专家的重要性权重,用以集结专家的偏好信息和对方案进行排序选择,算例分析表明了所提出方法的有效性.     

Consistency and consensus models for group decision-making with uncertain 2-tuple linguistic preference relations

Due to the uncertainty of the decision environment and the lack of knowledge, decision-makers may use uncertain linguistic preference relations to express their preferences over alternatives and criteria. For group decision-making problems with preference relations, it is important to consider the individual consistency and the group consensus before aggregating the preference information. In this paper, consistency and consensus models for group decision-making with uncertain 2-tuple linguistic preference relations (U2TLPRs) are investigated. First of all, a formula which can construct a consistent U2TLPR from the original preference relation is presented. Based on the consistent preference relation, the individual consistency index for a U2TLPR is defined. An iterative algorithm is then developed to improve the individual consistency of a U2TLPR. To help decision-makers reach consensus in group decision-making under uncertain linguistic environment, the individual consensus and group consensus indices for group decision-making with U2TLPRs are defined. Based on the two indices, an algorithm for consensus reaching in group decision-making with U2TLPRs is also developed. Finally, two examples are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.     

犹豫模糊语言群决策的共识性模型

针对犹豫模糊语言群决策问题,研究其共识性调整方法.首先,定义犹豫模糊语言术语集的距离测度;然后,基于该距离测度定义犹豫模糊决策矩阵间的共识性水平及其相关概念,建立共识性调整模型,该模型采用反馈机制,并且尽可能提供给专家较多的信息,以方便专家进行信息修正,达到群体共识;最后,通过具体实例说明了所提出的共识性方法的可行性和实用性.     

Group consensus algorithms based on preference relations

In many group decision-making situations, decision makers’ preferences for alternatives are expressed in preference relations (including fuzzy preference relations and multiplicative preference relations). An important step in the process of aggregating preference relations, is to determine the importance weight of each preference relation. In this paper, we develop a number of goal programming models and quadratic programming models based on the idea of maximizing group consensus. Our models can be used to derive the importance weights of fuzzy preference relations and multiplicative preference relations. We further develop iterative algorithms for reaching acceptable levels of consensus in group decision making based on fuzzy preference relations or multiplicative preference relations. Finally, we include an illustrative example.     

Adaptive consensus support model for group decision making systems

In this paper, we present an adaptive consensus support model for group decision making systems based on intervals of linguistic 2-tuples. The proposed method has the following advantages: (1) the evaluating values can either be represented by linguistic terms or intervals of linguistic terms, (2) if the required consensus degree is too high, then the proposed adaptive consensus support model can modify experts’ preferences to improve convergence toward a higher consensus degree or a sufficient agreement for group decision making and (3) the proposed method is an interactive method, where each expert can modify the adjustments made by the system during the consensus reaching process if he/she does not agree with the adjustments made by the system. The proposed adaptive consensus support model can overcome the drawback of Mata et al.’s method (2009). It provides us with a useful way for adaptive consensus support for group decision making based on intervals of linguistic 2-tuples.